Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (195/288) | 85% (496/582) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (195/288) | 85% (496/582) |
| Long passes |
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| 28% (15/53) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (53/93) | 66% (99/149) |
| Crosses |
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| 29% (2/7) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
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| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Wei Suowei ↓, Jia Feifan ↑,
- 35', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
- 45+1', Abreu F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Ngadeu M. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Lin Liangming ⚽,
- 58', Jin Yonghao ↓, Luo Senwen ↑,
- 58', Jin Yangyang ↓, Sha Yibo ↑,
- 69', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
- 70', Wang Ziming ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
- 70', Serginho ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
- 80', Feng Boyuan ↓, Wong Ho-Chun Anson ↑,
- 80', Song Long ↓, Che Shiwei ↑,
- 84', Cao Yongjing ↓, Spajic U. ↑,
- 84', Abreu F. ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
- 90', Lin Liangming ↓, Li Lei ↑,
- 90+4', Spajic U. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Liu Junshuai ⚽,
- 90+6', Dawhan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Hainiu
13.1% | Draw
19.7% | Beijing Guoan
67.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Guoan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.19 ↑
(5.01) |
4.82 ↑
(4.21) |
1.39 ↓
(1.59) |
6.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1.
- In recent matches, Qingdao Hainiu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Beijing Guoan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Qingdao Hainiu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Ormeno S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 1.3:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao Hainiu has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Qingdao Hainiu?
Beijing Guoan has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
19.10.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao Hainiu
6:0
21.05.2024
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Beijing Guoan
1:1
22.07.2023
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao Hainiu
2:0
25.04.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Beijing Guoan
3:1
Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 42:19 | 23 | 44 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:23 | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 38:20 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:15 | 20 | 37 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 28 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:34 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 17 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 13 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15:34 | -19 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
