Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.06
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
68% (195/288)85% (496/582)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.871.27
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
68% (195/288)85% (496/582)
Long passes
28% (15/53)49% (31/63)
Passes in final third
57% (53/93)66% (99/149)
Crosses
29% (2/7)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.07
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
1517
Tackles
60% (12/20)53% (10/19)
Duels won
6157
Clearances
2126
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.270.87
Goals prevented
0.27-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Wei Suowei , Jia Feifan ,
  • 35', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
  • 45+1', Abreu F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Ngadeu M. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Lin Liangming ,
  • 58', Jin Yonghao , Luo Senwen ,
  • 58', Jin Yangyang , Sha Yibo ,
  • 69', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
  • 70', Wang Ziming , Zhang Yuning ,
  • 70', Serginho , Zhang Yuan ,
  • 80', Feng Boyuan , Wong Ho-Chun Anson ,
  • 80', Song Long , Che Shiwei ,
  • 84', Cao Yongjing , Spajic U. ,
  • 84', Abreu F. , Zhang Xizhe ,
  • 90', Lin Liangming , Li Lei ,
  • 90+4', Spajic U. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Liu Junshuai ,
  • 90+6', Dawhan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Qingdao Hainiu
13.1%
Draw
19.7%
Beijing Guoan
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 22.2% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5% 21.9% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.
  • Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Guoan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.19
    (5.01)
    4.82
    (4.21)
    1.39
    (1.59)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1.
    • In recent matches, Qingdao Hainiu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Beijing Guoan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Qingdao Hainiu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Beijing Guoan is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Ormeno S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 1.3:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu 6:0
    21.05.2024 Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan 1:1
    22.07.2023 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu 2:0
    25.04.2023 Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan 3:1
    Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port26176363:382557
    2Chengdu Rongcheng26167353:223155
    3Shanghai Shenhua26166459:312854
    4Beijing Guoan26156557:391851
    5Shandong Taishan26127757:411643
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger26127736:32443
    7Zhejiang Professional26109754:421239
    8Qingdao West Coast2699835:38-336
    9Dalian Yingbo26961126:40-1433
    10Yunnan Yukun26881039:50-1132
    11Henan Songshan Longmen26851345:44129
    12Wuhan Three Towns26661432:54-2224
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng26621830:55-2520
    14Meizhou Hakka26551631:57-2620
    15Qingdao Hainiu26391425:40-1518
    16Changchun Yatai26461624:43-1918

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League