Stoke City vs Queens Park Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent).

Championship - Round 27
Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.81	0.29
Ball possession
73%	27%
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
6	2
Passes
87% (476/550)	59% (119/203)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.81	0.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	0.04
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
4	1
Shots inside the box
7	4
Shots outside the box
5	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
26	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
87% (476/550)	59% (119/203)
Long passes
42% (22/52)	29% (19/66)
Passes in final third
73% (92/126)	44% (22/50)
Crosses
12% (4/33)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.34
Throw ins
25	22
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
64% (7/11)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
57	54
Clearances
26	31
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.04	0.21
Goals prevented
0.04	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
29', Pearson B. 🟨,
37', Mubama D. 🟨,
45+4', Cisse L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Dunne J. 🟨,
56', Mubama D. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
71', Dembele K. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
76', Lawal B. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
78', Kone R. 🟨,
86', Smyth P. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
87', Kolli R. ↓, Adamson K. ↑,
87', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
90+10', Bennie D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stoke City
45.2%

Draw
28.6%

Queens Park Rangers
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.31)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	3.61 ↑ (3.09)	5.4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - QPR (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.
Stoke is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
QPR is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Bocat E. (Inactive) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Cresswell A. (Injury)
There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Tchamadeu J. (Injury)
There are questionable in QPR: Burrell R. (Injury) Chair I. (Muscle Injury) Dembele K. (Injury) Mbengue A. S. (Injury) Saito K. (Injury) Varane J. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Queens Park Rangers?

Stoke City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Stoke City?

Queens Park Rangers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:

20.09.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City 1:0

29.03.2025 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 3:1

23.11.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City 1:1

14.02.2024 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 1:0

28.11.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City 4:2

Latest results of Stoke City

10.01.2026 Stoke City - Coventry City 1:0 ✺

04.01.2026 Norwich City - Stoke City 0:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Hull City - Stoke City 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Stoke City - Sheffield United 1:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Stoke City - Preston North End 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Queens Park Rangers

11.01.2026 West Ham United - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield Wednesday 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Norwich City 1:2 ✺

29.12.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers 1:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72:38	34	71
2	Middlesbrough	35	19	9	7	54:35	19	66
3	Ipswich	34	18	9	7	60:34	26	63
4	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47:40	7	62
5	Hull	35	18	6	11	56:49	7	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54:45	9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57:46	11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
11	Preston	35	12	13	10	41:40	1	49
12	Birmingham	35	13	10	12	46:46	0	49
13	Sheffield Utd	35	15	3	17	50:48	2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39:34	5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46:54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40:43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47:44	3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33:44	-11	41
19	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34:44	-10	39
20	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33:46	-13	38
21	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34:52	-18	35
22	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47:56	-9	34
23	Oxford Utd	35	7	11	17	31:47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	35	1	8	26	21:71	-50	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One