Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 6
- Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (171/242) | 86% (375/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (171/242) | 86% (375/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 51% (32/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/92) | 72% (84/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Pearson B. 🟨,
- 42', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 52', Baker L. 🟨,
- 54', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 55', Rigo T. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
- 60', Varane J. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
- 64', Hayden I. 🟨,
- 67', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 72', Burrell R. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 0, Vale H. ⚽,
- 81', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
- 88', Lawal B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Nardi P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Queens Park Rangers
32.4% | Draw
29.9% | Stoke City
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.6) |
3.15 ↓
(3.28) |
2.55 ↓
(2.64) |
5%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
Stoke City will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, QPR has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in QPR: Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Clarke-Salter J.
(Hip Injury)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Poku K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
N'Zonzi S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Pearson B.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, QPR won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Stoke City?
Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Queens Park Rangers?
Stoke City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City were as follows:
29.03.2025
Stoke City
-
Queens Park Rangers
3:1
23.11.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
1:1
14.02.2024
Stoke City
-
Queens Park Rangers
1:0
28.11.2023
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
4:2
17.09.2022
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
0:0
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
