Queens Park Rangers vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 6
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.10
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
71% (171/242)86% (375/438)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.00
Total shots
147
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
138
Passes
71% (171/242)86% (375/438)
Long passes
31% (18/59)51% (32/63)
Passes in final third
57% (52/92)72% (84/116)
Crosses
22% (2/9)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.96
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
813
Tackles
78% (14/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
3429
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.001.44
Goals prevented
0.000.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Pearson B. 🟨,
  • 42', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pearson B. , Seko T. ,
  • 52', Baker L. 🟨,
  • 54', Manhoef M. , Cisse L. ,
  • 55', Rigo T. , Bae J. ,
  • 60', Varane J. , Hayden I. ,
  • 64', Hayden I. 🟨,
  • 67', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
  • 72', Burrell R. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Vale H. ,
  • 81', Mubama D. , Bozenik R. ,
  • 88', Lawal B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Nardi P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Queens Park Rangers
32.4%
Draw
29.9%
Stoke City
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28.6% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 28.7% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.6)
    3.15
    (3.28)
    2.55
    (2.64)
    5%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, QPR has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in QPR: Chair I. (Muscle Injury) Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Poku K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury) N'Zonzi S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Pearson B. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, QPR won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 3:1
    23.11.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City 1:1
    14.02.2024 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 1:0
    28.11.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City 4:2
    17.09.2022 Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City 0:0
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One