Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 39
- Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (301/386) | 81% (363/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (301/386) | 81% (363/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (70/116) | 59% (57/96) |
| Crosses |
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| 20% (3/15) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.10 | 3.18 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.10 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Bae J. ⚽, Tchamadeu J. (A),
- 43', Varane J. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Tchamadeu J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dembele K. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
- 46', Andersen L. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
- 46', Morgan K. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 0, Manhoef M. ⚽,
- 58', Colback J. 🟨,
- 61', Gallagher S. ↓, Lowe N. ↑,
- 67', Yang Min-Hyuk 🟨,
- 67', Pearson B. 🟨,
- 69', Paal K. ↓, Ashby H. ↑,
- 69', Pearson B. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 69', Bae J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 74', Varane J. ↓, Morrison L. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Yang Min-Hyuk ⚽, Colback J. (A),
Chances of winning
Stoke City
42.7% | Draw
29.6% | Queens Park Rangers
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stoke City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.4) |
3.21 ↑
(3.18) |
3.41 ↑
(3.11) |
5.2%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 6 - 50%). QPR will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 1.
- Stoke is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- QPR has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Stoke will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Stoke: Gibson B.
(Leg Injury)
Gooch L.
(Leg Injury)
Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in QPR: Celar Z.
(Knock)
Chair I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Clarke-Salter J.
(Hip Injury)
Field S.
(Ankle Injury)
Kolli R.
(Leg Injury)
Saito K.
(Red Card)
Vale H.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Andersen L.
(Injury)
Cook S.
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Stoke won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Queens Park Rangers?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Stoke City?
Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
23.11.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
1:1
14.02.2024
Stoke City
-
Queens Park Rangers
1:0
28.11.2023
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
4:2
17.09.2022
Queens Park Rangers
-
Stoke City
0:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
