Querétaro vs Chivas Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.832.37
Ball Possession
26%74%
Total shots
622
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
011
Passes
69% (161/235)91% (558/614)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.832.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.75
Total shots
622
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
212
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
317
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
011
Touches in opposition box
651
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
710
Passes
69% (161/235)91% (558/614)
Long passes
32% (22/68)76% (31/41)
Passes in final third
48% (33/69)85% (191/226)
Crosses
0% (0/3)26% (12/47)
Expected assists (xA)
0.141.84
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
107
Tackles
58% (7/12)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
439
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.751.08
Goals prevented
0.750.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Avila A. ,
  • 44', Ledezma R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Avila A. , Jhojan Julio ,
  • 46', Govea O. , Alvarado R. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez A. , Wilke T. ,
  • 59', Alvarez E. , Camberos H. ,
  • 59', Castillo J. , Gutierrez E. ,
  • 63', Gonzalez B. , Cowell C. ,
  • 69', Rodriguez L. , Coronel M. ,
  • 69', Gomez J. , Mendoza Martin O. I. ,
  • 72', Zapata A. 🟨,
  • 78', Perlaza J. , Villanueva C. ,
  • 81', Allison G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ledezma R. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Querétaro
19.8%
Draw
26.3%
Chivas Guadalajara
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 25.9% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 25.4% 53.2%

Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.69
(4.23)
3.6
(3.6)
1.75
(1.79)
6.3%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chivas Guadalajara will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 0.
    • Querétaro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guadalajara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Mozo A. (Knee Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro 1:1
    16.07.2024 Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara 0:2
    20.04.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro 2:0
    31.10.2023 Querétaro - Chivas Guadalajara 1:2
    05.02.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro 1:1
    Latest results of Querétaro
    18.10.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 4:0
    04.10.2025 Querétaro - Puebla 3:1
    28.09.2025 Querétaro - Tigres UANL 0:2
    24.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Querétaro 2:2
    20.09.2025 Pachuca - Querétaro 0:2
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca (1)Juarez (8)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Club America (4)Monterrey (5)2 : 1, 0 : 2
    3Tigres UANL (2)Club Tijuana (7)5 : 0, 0 : 3
    4Cruz Azul (3)Guadalajara Chivas (6)3 : 2, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca (1)Monterrey (5)3 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tigres UANL (2)Cruz Azul (3)1 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Toluca (1)Tigres UANL (2)