Result
0:2
20/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (419/462) | 83% (330/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (419/462) | 83% (330/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 83% (58/70) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (125/154) | 72% (47/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/30) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 5 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Mosquera M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', Hernandez S. ↓, Pena F. ↑,
- 59', Cisneros R. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 65', Ortega H. 🟨,
- 66', Madson ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 1, Barrera P. (Pen),
- 74', Manzanarez O. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
- 74', Perez A. ↓, Bogarin R. ↑,
- 74', Villalpando D. ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Preciado A. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
- 81', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
- 81', Orquin R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 81', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 89', Barrera P. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez
57.4% | Draw
24.1% | Querétaro
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Querétaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-14.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Querétaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Querétaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(2.23) |
3.9 ↑
(3.14) |
5.08 ↑
(3.39) |
5.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Juárez - Querétaro?
Users Predictions:
Juárez will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juárez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to bad weather.
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 14).
- Juárez is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Juárez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Juárez is a favorite.
- There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Querétaro: Canale Dominguez J.
(Toe Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Castro M.
(Knee Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Querétaro: Lertora F.
(Calf Injury)
Mendoza Martin O. I.
(Illness)
Valenzuela C.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Juárez won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Querétaro?
Juárez has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Juárez?
Querétaro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Querétaro were as follows:
01.11.2024
Querétaro
-
Juárez
1:2
15.03.2024
Querétaro
-
Juárez
1:0
05.11.2023
Juárez
-
Querétaro
0:3
19.03.2023
Querétaro
-
Juárez
2:2
Latest results of Querétaro
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
