Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Arce V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (312/389) | 80% (300/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (312/389) | 80% (300/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 56% (40/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (55/87) | 66% (85/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 47% (9/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Venegas F. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Marin R. ⚽, Diaz N. (A),
- 43', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 46', Venegas F. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
- 54', Perez A. ↓, Barrera P. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Avila A. ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 1, Avila A. ⚽, Perlaza J. (A),
- 63', Navarro E. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 76', Marin R. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 76', Rivas J. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
- 78', Avila A. ↓, Armenta E. ↑,
- 89', Jhojan Julio ↓, Robles J. ↑,
- 90+1', Zapata A. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
- 90+1', Gomez E. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 90+1', Organista A. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Querétaro
32.3% | Draw
29.1% | Puebla
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Querétaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Querétaro - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.52) |
3.24 ↓
(3.42) |
2.46 ↓
(2.52) |
6.3%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2.
- Querétaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Puebla has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Querétaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Querétaro: Coronel M.
(Red Card)
Gruezo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Pachuca Martinez J. R.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Querétaro: Garcia C.
(Knee Injury)
Lertora F.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Monarrez F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Puebla?
Querétaro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Querétaro?
Puebla has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Puebla were as follows:
02.03.2025
Querétaro
-
Puebla
2:0
13.09.2024
Puebla
-
Querétaro
2:1
23.02.2024
Puebla
-
Querétaro
0:2
17.09.2023
Querétaro
-
Puebla
1:1
13.01.2023
Puebla
-
Querétaro
2:0
Latest results of Querétaro
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Monterrey | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25:19 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Juarez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Atlas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
