Querétaro vs Puebla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Arce V. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
80% (312/389)80% (300/376)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.381.27
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1915
Passes
80% (312/389)80% (300/376)
Long passes
44% (27/61)56% (40/71)
Passes in final third
63% (55/87)66% (85/129)
Crosses
23% (3/13)47% (9/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.00
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
1519
Tackles
68% (13/19)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4757
Clearances
1714
Interceptions
167
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.272.38
Goals prevented
0.27-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Venegas F. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Marin R. , Diaz N. (A),
  • 43', Diaz N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Carcelen Carabali M. A. , Perez A. ,
  • 46', Venegas F. , Perlaza J. ,
  • 54', Perez A. , Barrera P. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Avila A. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Avila A. , Perlaza J. (A),
  • 63', Navarro E. , Baltazar C. ,
  • 76', Marin R. , Lozano E. ,
  • 76', Rivas J. , Moreno I. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Rodriguez L. ,
  • 78', Avila A. , Armenta E. ,
  • 89', Jhojan Julio , Robles J. ,
  • 90+1', Zapata A. , Garcia C. ,
  • 90+1', Gomez E. , Robles A. ,
  • 90+1', Organista A. , Orona E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Querétaro
32.3%
Draw
29.1%
Puebla
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 26.9% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 25.9% 35.2%

Querétaro - Puebla Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.89
(2.52)
3.24
(3.42)
2.46
(2.52)
6.3%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Querétaro - Puebla?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Querétaro (2.04) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Querétaro (votes: 1 - 50%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2.
    • Querétaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Puebla has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Querétaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Querétaro: Coronel M. (Red Card) Gruezo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury) Pachuca Martinez J. R. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Querétaro: Garcia C. (Knee Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Monarrez F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Puebla were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Querétaro - Puebla 2:0
    13.09.2024 Puebla - Querétaro 2:1
    23.02.2024 Puebla - Querétaro 0:2
    17.09.2023 Querétaro - Puebla 1:1
    13.01.2023 Puebla - Querétaro 2:0
    Latest results of Querétaro
    28.09.2025 Querétaro - Tigres UANL 0:2
    24.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Querétaro 2:2
    20.09.2025 Pachuca - Querétaro 0:2
    14.09.2025 Querétaro - Monterrey 0:1
    30.08.2025 Club León - Querétaro 3:0
    Latest results of Puebla
    23.09.2025 Puebla - Pachuca 2:2
    19.09.2025 Necaxa - Puebla 1:0
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    29.08.2025 Puebla - Monterrey 2:4
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guadalajara Chivas550010:4615
    2Tigres UANL53119:4510
    3Cruz Azul53119:6310
    4Atlas53115:4110
    5UNAM Pumas52309:459
    6Toluca52305:239
    7Pachuca52214:318
    8Club America52213:218
    9Monterrey52129:547
    10Club Tijuana51405:417
    11Necaxa52037:706
    12Queretaro51225:505
    13Puebla51222:3-15
    14Atl. San Luis51137:10-34
    15Juarez51137:10-34
    16Club Leon51135:8-34
    17Santos Laguna50145:17-121
    18Mazatlan FC50054:12-80

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)