Result
21/04/2026 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Chances of winning
Monterrey
65.4% | Draw
20.3% | Puebla
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-20.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puebla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monterrey - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.51) |
4.59 ↑
(4.12) |
6.55 ↑
(4.9) |
6.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Monterrey is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Puebla?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Monterrey?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Puebla were as follows:
29.08.2025
Puebla
-
Monterrey
2:4
12.01.2025
Monterrey
-
Puebla
1:1
16.08.2024
Puebla
-
Monterrey
1:2
13.01.2024
Monterrey
-
Puebla
2:0
03.10.2023
Puebla
-
Monterrey
1:1
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Pachuca ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas ✔ | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 28:15 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 6 | Club America | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:14 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Atlas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Leon | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 9 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Juarez | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Queretaro | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 15 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11:22 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17:36 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
UNAM Pumas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
