Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/05/2024 at  14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 38
 
                                                - Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport | 
 Croatia | Arena Sport | 
 France | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Sports | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.79 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 45% | 55% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 10 | 28 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 5 | 14 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 9 | 12 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Total Passes | 
|---|
| 447 | 477 | 
| Completed Passes | 
|---|
| 357 | 389 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 24 | 25 | 
| Attacks | 
|---|
| 98 | 122 | 
| Dangerous Attacks | 
|---|
| 42 | 101 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 42 | 11 | 
| Crosses Completed | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 13 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 33', Gbelle G. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 1)
 - 46', Cadiou N. ↓, Soumano S. ↑, 
 - 63', 1 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽, 
 - 64', Bouchouari B. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑, 
 - 70', Petrot L. ↓, Appiah D. ↑, 
 - 70', Macon Y. ↓, Bentayg M. ↑, 
 - 77', Pendant J. ↓, Loric S. ↑, 
 - 77', Gbelle G. ↓, Poha D. ↑, 
 - 81', 2 - 0, Coulibaly K. ⚽, Camara M. (A), 
 - 85', Moueffek A. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑, 
 - 88', Cissokho T. 🟨, 
 - 89', 2 - 1, Sissoko I. (Pen), 
 - 90', Coulibaly K. ↓, Bonnet A. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Quevilly  16.2% | Draw  20.2% | Saint-Étienne  63.6% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Quevilly - Saint-Étienne Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   5.81 ↑ (4.83) | 
			   4.66 ↑ (3.94) | 
			   1.48 ↓ (1.67) | 
			   6.4% (5.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Quevilly - Saint-Étienne?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Saint-Étienne will win 
                    (31 of 33 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.8% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)). 
 - Quevilly is Relegated to National 
 - Quevilly is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
 - Saint-Étienne is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
 - In this match Saint-Étienne is a favorite.
 - Last 3 head-to-head matches Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Quevilly won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Quevilly won against Saint-Étienne?
                    
                    
                        
                            Quevilly has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Quevilly?
                    
                    
                        
                             Saint-Étienne has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Quevilly - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
                                                        
                                19.08.2023 
                                Saint-Étienne 
                                - 
                                Quevilly 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.05.2023 
                                Saint-Étienne 
                                - 
                                Quevilly 
                                4:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Quevilly                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Saint-Étienne                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Troyes | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 28 | 
| 2 | Red Star | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 | 
| 3 | St Etienne | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 23 | 
| 4 | Pau FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 | 
| 5 | Montpellier | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 | 
| 6 | Le Mans | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 | 
| 7 | Dunkerque | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 19 | 
| 8 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 19 | 
| 9 | Guingamp | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | Annecy | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 | 
| 11 | Rodez | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 | 
| 12 | Amiens | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 | 
| 13 | Nancy | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 15 | 
| 14 | Grenoble | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 | 
| 15 | Clermont | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 14 | 
| 16 | Boulogne | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:21 | -9 | 11 | 
| 17 | Laval | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 9 | 
| 18 | Bastia | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National