Result
2:1
02/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 7 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 9 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/345) | 87% (431/494) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/345) | 87% (431/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (59/90) | 76% (149/195) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.77 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Balde I. ⚽, Trouillet A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Miladinovic I. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Balde I. ⚽,
- 55', Balde I. 🟨,
- 58', Pedro K. ↓, Gadegbeku L. ↑,
- 69', Boakye A. 🟨,
- 72', Mendes J. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
- 72', Saka M. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
- 73', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
- 73', Duffus J. ↓, Annan E. ↑,
- 79', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
- 79', Trouillet A. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Cardona I. ⚽, Boakye A. (A),
- 90', Joly O. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gadegbeku L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rodez
28.8% | Draw
26.2% | Saint-Étienne
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint-Étienne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint-Étienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rodez - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↓
(3.93) |
3.57 ↓
(3.95) |
2.06 ↑
(1.78) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Rodez - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rodez will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 1.
- Rodez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Saint-Étienne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Saint-Étienne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Corredor M.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Annan E.
(Inactive)
El Jamali N.
(Knee Injury)
Eymard P.
(Inactive)
Jaber M.
(Inactive)
Le Cardinal J.
(Inactive)
N'Guessan D.
(Inactive)
Tardieu F.
(Calf Injury)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Davitashvili Z.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Saint-Étienne?
Rodez has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Rodez?
Saint-Étienne has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
16.08.2025
Saint-Étienne
-
Rodez
4:0
24.05.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Rodez
2:0
10.05.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Rodez
1:1
12.08.2023
Rodez
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
12.11.2022
Saint-Étienne
-
Rodez
0:2
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
