Patronato Parana vs Quilmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Patronato Parana - Quilmes
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
20
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Total shots
46
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Roseti M. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Barinaga J. ,
  • 41', Aranda G. 🟨,
  • 42', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Carabajal G. 🟨,
  • 63', Asis G. 🟨,
  • 66', Asis G. , Navas J. ,
  • 66', Pereyra V. L. , Escobar I. ,
  • 70', Belinetz O. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 70', Coronel J. , Machado C. ,
  • 72', Gallucci S. , Picco A. R. ,
  • 72', Castro F. , Pardo M. ,
  • 73', Martinez R. , Santiago M. ,
  • 76', Machado C. 🟥,
  • 83', Picco A. R. 🟨,
  • 89', Roseti M. , Capano J. ,
  • 89', Carabajal G. , Mino M. ,
  • 89', Diaz G. , Diaz F. N. ,
  • 90+3', Navas J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Patronato Parana
49.6%
Draw
32.3%
Quilmes
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 32.5% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 31.2% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.
  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quilmes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quilmes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Patronato Parana - Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.13)
    3.16
    (2.8)
    5.85
    (3.67)
    -1.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Patronato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - Quilmes were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Quilmes - Patronato Parana 1:1
    08.09.2024 Patronato Parana - Quilmes 1:1
    22.04.2024 Quilmes - Patronato Parana 2:2
    Latest results of Patronato Parana
    Latest results of Quilmes
    31.08.2025 Club Almagro - Quilmes 2:2
    28.08.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado 0:0
    22.08.2025 Quilmes - San Miguel 2:0
    16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy0 : 1
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro0 : 0
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez0 : 0