Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Roseti M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Barinaga J. ⚽,
- 41', Aranda G. 🟨,
- 42', Belinetz O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Carabajal G. 🟨,
- 63', Asis G. 🟨,
- 66', Asis G. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
- 66', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Escobar I. ↑,
- 70', Belinetz O. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
- 70', Coronel J. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
- 72', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 72', Castro F. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
- 73', Martinez R. ↓, Santiago M. ↑,
- 76', Machado C. 🟥,
- 83', Picco A. R. 🟨,
- 89', Roseti M. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 89', Carabajal G. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 89', Diaz G. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
- 90+3', Navas J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Patronato Parana
49.6% | Draw
32.3% | Quilmes
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quilmes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quilmes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Patronato Parana - Quilmes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.13) |
3.16 ↑
(2.8) |
5.85 ↑
(3.67) |
-1.1%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Patronato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Quilmes?
Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Patronato Parana?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - Quilmes were as follows:
10.05.2025
Quilmes
-
Patronato Parana
1:1
08.09.2024
Patronato Parana
-
Quilmes
1:1
22.04.2024
Quilmes
-
Patronato Parana
2:2
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Latest results of Quilmes
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn ✔ | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 60 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta ✔ | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez ✔ | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 52 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro ✔ | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 34:23 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | San Miguel ✔ | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 50 |
| 6 | San Martin T. ✔ | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 49 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 34:30 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | Patronato ✔ | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 26:26 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Ferro | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:33 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 | Los Andes | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 13 | Club A. Guemes | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | All Boys | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Almagro | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi ✔ | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Alvarado ✔ | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 33 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 60 |
| 2 | CA Estudiantes | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 40:21 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy ✔ | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 52 |
| 7 | Temperley | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 52 |
| 8 | Agropecuario | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 41:34 | 7 | 51 |
| 9 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 49 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 27:30 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 26:39 | -13 | 36 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 21:39 | -18 | 29 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) ✔ | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 16:38 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos ✔ | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Alvarado is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
