Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', Rueda M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Marcioni J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marcioni J. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Herrera E. ⚽,
- 59', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 71', Coronel J. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
- 77', Roseti M. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 83', Kalinski E. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
- 83', Torrent F. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 84', Moreno E. ↓, Villarreal V. ↑,
- 90+3', Castro F. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Quilmes
45.3% | Draw
31% | Patronato Parana
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Quilmes - Patronato Parana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.91) |
2.99 ↓
(3.25) |
3.94 ↓
(4.2) |
7.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Quilmes - Patronato Parana?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In recent matches, Quilmes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Patronato is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Quilmes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Patronato Parana?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Quilmes?
Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Patronato Parana were as follows:
08.09.2024
Patronato Parana
-
Quilmes
1:1
22.04.2024
Quilmes
-
Patronato Parana
2:2
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Patronato | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Almagro | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Ferro | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 28:12 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Chacarita Juniors | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28:19 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Temperley | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17:19 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9:30 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
