Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', Rueda M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Marcioni J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marcioni J. ↓, Pardo M. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Herrera E. ⚽,
- 59', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
- 71', Coronel J. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
- 77', Roseti M. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 83', Kalinski E. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
- 83', Torrent F. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 84', Moreno E. ↓, Villarreal V. ↑,
- 90+3', Castro F. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Quilmes
45.3% | Draw
31% | Patronato Parana
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Quilmes - Patronato Parana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.91) |
2.99 ↓
(3.25) |
3.94 ↓
(4.2) |
7.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Quilmes - Patronato Parana?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In recent matches, Quilmes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Patronato is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Quilmes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Patronato Parana?
Quilmes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Quilmes?
Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Patronato Parana were as follows:
08.09.2024
Patronato Parana
-
Quilmes
1:1
22.04.2024
Quilmes
-
Patronato Parana
2:2
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
