Quilmes vs Tristán Suárez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
17
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Total shots
912
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Bindella A. , Luna S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kalinski E. , Coronel J. ,
  • 46', Da Rosa J. E. , Gorosito I. ,
  • 46', Veliez A. , Sosa A. ,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Dominguez A. (Pen),
  • 62', Del Priore N. , Perez T. ,
  • 69', Villegas L. , Berges F. ,
  • 70', Vazquez G. , Mejias T. ,
  • 71', Carabajal G. , Capano J. ,
  • 77', Romeo L. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 82', Dominguez A. , Ruiz P. ,
  • 90+1', Juarez M. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Perez T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
24%
Draw
33.2%
Tristán Suárez
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 36.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 35.9% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.
  • Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristán Suárez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristán Suárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Quilmes - Tristán Suárez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.89
    (2.8)
    2.81
    (2.55)
    2.18
    (3.01)
    7.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Tristán Suárez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Tristán Suárez were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Tristán Suárez - Quilmes 0:0
    01.09.2024 Quilmes - Tristán Suárez 0:1
    14.04.2024 Tristán Suárez - Quilmes 1:3
    29.09.2023 Quilmes - Tristán Suárez 5:1
    20.05.2023 Tristán Suárez - Quilmes 0:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    14.09.2025 Patronato Parana - Quilmes 1:0
    31.08.2025 Club Almagro - Quilmes 2:2
    Latest results of Tristán Suárez
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    10Patronato113446:10-413
    11Quilmes1033411:8312
    12Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    13Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    14Colegiales113358:12-412
    15Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    16Agropecuario103259:13-411
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation