Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/04/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1,  ⚽, 
- 72', 1 - 1, Vazquez O. ⚽, 
- 82', 2 - 1, Luismi ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | UD Ourense 51.7%
 | Draw 28.4%
 | RC Villalbes 19.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RC Villalbes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RC Villalbes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        UD Ourense - RC Villalbes Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.76 ↓ (2.15)
 | 3.21 ↑ (3.1)
 | 4.58 ↑ (2.95)
 | 9.7% (12.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )). 
- UD Ourense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
- Recent matches Villalbes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
- UD Ourense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- In this match UD Ourense is a favorite. 
- Our prediction for today's UD Ourense to win the game is with odds 1.59.
 
- Last 4 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3). 
- Including matches at home between the teams UD Ourense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against RC Villalbes?
                    
                    
                        
                            UD Ourense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has RC Villalbes won against UD Ourense?
                    
                    
                        
                             RC Villalbes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between UD Ourense - RC Villalbes were as follows:
                                                        
                                15.09.2024 
                                RC Villalbes 
                                - 
                                UD Ourense 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.03.2023 
                                UD Ourense 
                                - 
                                RC Villalbes 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.11.2022 
                                RC Villalbes 
                                - 
                                UD Ourense 
                                5:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of UD Ourense                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of RC Villalbes                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Compostela | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 20 | 
| 2 | Somozas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 | 
| 3 | Estradense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 | 
| 4 | Arosa SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 15 | 
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 | 
| 6 | Lugo B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 | 
| 7 | Montaneros | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | 
| 8 | Boiro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Gran Pena | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 | 
| 10 | Celtiga | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 | 
| 11 | Alondras | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 | 
| 12 | Cambados | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 | 
| 13 | Atletico Arteixo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 | 
| 14 | Viveiro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 | 
| 15 | Barco | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 | 
| 16 | Noia | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 | 
| 17 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:16 | -11 | 6 | 
| 18 | Silva SD | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 | 
      Promotion
      Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
      Relegation