Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Fernandez Rodriguez M. A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña
17% | Draw
24.6% | UD Ourense
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gran Peña - UD Ourense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.33 ↓
(7.37) |
3.69 ↓
(4.4) |
1.55 ↑
(1.36) |
10.2%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 2.
- Recent matches Gran Peña is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- UD Ourense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match UD Ourense is absolute favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against UD Ourense?
Gran Peña has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Gran Peña?
UD Ourense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - UD Ourense were as follows:
24.11.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
2:0
09.06.2024
Gran Peña
-
UD Ourense
2:1
02.06.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
3:3
24.02.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
0:2
08.10.2023
Gran Peña
-
UD Ourense
1:1
Latest results of Gran Peña
Latest results of UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arosa SC | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 55:33 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Compostela | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Boiro | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:27 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Estradense | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 | Somozas | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 50 |
| 7 | Racing Club Villalbes | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 34:28 | 6 | 49 |
| 8 | Lugo B | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gran Pena | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 10 | Barco | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 | Montaneros | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Alondras | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 27:40 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Cambados | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 27:52 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25:67 | -42 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
