Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Fernandez Rodriguez M. A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gran Peña
17% | Draw
24.6% | UD Ourense
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gran Peña - UD Ourense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.33 ↓
(7.37) |
3.69 ↓
(4.4) |
1.55 ↑
(1.36) |
10.2%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 2.
- Recent matches Gran Peña is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- UD Ourense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match UD Ourense is absolute favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against UD Ourense?
Gran Peña has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Gran Peña?
UD Ourense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - UD Ourense were as follows:
24.11.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
2:0
09.06.2024
Gran Peña
-
UD Ourense
2:1
02.06.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
3:3
24.02.2024
UD Ourense
-
Gran Peña
0:2
08.10.2023
Gran Peña
-
UD Ourense
1:1
Latest results of Gran Peña
Latest results of UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
