Racing Métro vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Racing Métro - Montpellier
11/10/2025 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports Player

Chances of winning


Racing Métro
72%
Draw
4.1%
Montpellier
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.4% 6.1% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 5.6% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Métro's performance.
  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Métro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Racing Métro - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.37)
    21.5
    (15)
    4.2
    (3.31)
    9.5%
    (9.9%)
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Métro won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Racing Métro is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Racing Métro will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing Métro won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 434:514. (average 21.7:25.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing Métro won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 287:235. (average 28.7:23.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Métro - Montpellier were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Racing Métro - Montpellier 25:27
    21.12.2024 Montpellier - Racing Métro 21:17
    17.02.2024 Racing Métro - Montpellier 20:44
    29.10.2023 Montpellier - Racing Métro 16:19
    08.01.2023 Montpellier - Racing Métro 17:12
    Latest results of Racing Métro
    04.10.2025 Castres - Racing Métro 20:16
    27.09.2025 Racing Métro - Clermont 43:31
    20.09.2025 Perpignan - Racing Métro 15:28
    06.09.2025 Lyon - Racing Métro 32:7
    Latest results of Montpellier
    04.10.2025 Montpellier - La Rochelle 37:13
    27.09.2025 Montauban - Montpellier 22:22
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulouse 44:14
    06.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulon 17:27
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais5401144:14816
    2Stade Francais Paris5302150:11815
    3Bordeaux Begles5302165:13414
    4Stade Toulousain5302164:13314
    5RC Toulonnais4301108:8114
    6Section Paloise5302135:12314
    7Montpellier5212143:10213
    8Racing 925302138:13013
    9Lyon5302134:13413
    10Castres Olympique5203107:12511
    11Stade Rochelais420296:8410
    12Clermont5203205:16910
    13Montauban5014119:2492
    14USA Perpignan500566:1440

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