Result
1:2
18/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽,
- 27', Sanseviero L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rabino R. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 48', Pinela M. 🟨,
- 57', Tomatis B. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
- 62', Peralta M. ↓, Balatti F. ↑,
- 62', Cardozo E. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Da Silva E. ⚽,
- 73', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 78', Risso M. 🟨,
- 79', Arguello M. ↓, Velazquez A. ↑,
- 79', Fernandez S. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Sosa S. ⚽,
- 86', Silveira H. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
- 89', Espinosa Dovat T. N. 🟨,
- 90', Ramirez S. ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Danubio
32.8% | Draw
31.8% | Racing Montevideo
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Danubio - Racing Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(2.9) |
2.97 ↑
(2.96) |
2.63 ↓
(2.64) |
6.9%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Danubio - Racing Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
- Danubio has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Racing's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Racing Montevideo?
Danubio has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Danubio?
Racing Montevideo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
03.05.2025
Danubio
-
Racing Montevideo
0:0
17.11.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Danubio
0:0
19.05.2024
Danubio
-
Racing Montevideo
0:1
14.10.2023
Danubio
-
Racing Montevideo
0:2
03.03.2023
Racing Montevideo
-
Danubio
1:1
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Danubio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
| 15 | Wanderers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
