Danubio vs Racing Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Danubio - Racing Montevideo
Result
1:2
18/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
76
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
511
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
76
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Peralta M. ,
  • 27', Sanseviero L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rabino R. , Femia E. ,
  • 48', Pinela M. 🟨,
  • 57', Tomatis B. , Sosa S. ,
  • 62', Peralta M. , Balatti F. ,
  • 62', Cardozo E. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Da Silva E. ,
  • 73', Fernandez J. 🟨,
  • 78', Risso M. 🟨,
  • 79', Arguello M. , Velazquez A. ,
  • 79', Fernandez S. , Nunez S. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Sosa S. ,
  • 86', Silveira H. , Severo A. ,
  • 89', Espinosa Dovat T. N. 🟨,
  • 90', Ramirez S. , Oyarzo Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Danubio
32.8%
Draw
31.8%
Racing Montevideo
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 31.8% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 31.9% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Danubio - Racing Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.9)
    2.97
    (2.96)
    2.63
    (2.64)
    6.9%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Danubio - Racing Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
    • Danubio has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Racing's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Danubio - Racing Montevideo 0:0
    17.11.2024 Racing Montevideo - Danubio 0:0
    19.05.2024 Danubio - Racing Montevideo 0:1
    14.10.2023 Danubio - Racing Montevideo 0:2
    03.03.2023 Racing Montevideo - Danubio 1:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    14.06.2025 Boston River - Danubio 1:1
    31.05.2025 Progreso - Danubio 0:1
    25.05.2025 Danubio - Miramar Misiones 2:0
    19.05.2025 Plaza Colonia - Danubio 1:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River11004:043
    2Nacional11005:233
    3Cerro Largo11002:023
    4Penarol11002:113
    5CA Cerro10100:001
    6River Plate10100:001
    7Liverpool M00000:000
    8Danubio00000:000
    9Wanderers00000:000
    10Miramar00000:000
    11Racing Montevideo00000:000
    12Plaza Colonia00000:000
    13Progreso10011:2-10
    14Juventud10010:2-20
    15Montevideo City10012:5-30
    16Defensor Sp10010:4-40

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