River Plate Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo
Result
2:3
21/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
96
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Triver F. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Almeida C. ,
  • 41', Almeida C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Oyarzo Y. , Cairus F. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Pollero R. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Manzur I. ,
  • 59', Espinosa Dovat T. N. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 65', Triver F. , Alfonso M. ,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Moreira M. (Own goal),
  • 75', Vera A. , Schiappacasse N. ,
  • 75', De Leon F. , Quintana J. ,
  • 76', Tomatis B. , Bosca J. ,
  • 76', Manzur I. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Da Silva E. ,
  • 84', Lopez I. , Correa T. ,
  • 84', Olmos T. , Chavero J. ,
  • 87', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Da Silva E. , Suarez F. ,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
32.5%
Draw
31.4%
Racing Montevideo
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 28.1% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 26.7% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.65)
    3.15
    (3.29)
    2.9
    (1.99)
    -0.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
    • River Plate has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Racing has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Racing could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Racing Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    01.12.2024 Racing Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 2:0
    29.07.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo 2:2
    02.06.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo 3:3
    03.09.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo 0:0
    Latest results of Racing Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

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