River Plate Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
96
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Triver F. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Almeida C. ,
  • 41', Almeida C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Oyarzo Y. , Cairus F. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Pollero R. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Manzur I. ,
  • 59', Espinosa Dovat T. N. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 65', Triver F. , Alfonso M. ,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Moreira M. (Own goal),
  • 75', Vera A. , Schiappacasse N. ,
  • 75', De Leon F. , Quintana J. ,
  • 76', Tomatis B. , Bosca J. ,
  • 76', Manzur I. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Da Silva E. ,
  • 84', Lopez I. , Correa T. ,
  • 84', Olmos T. , Chavero J. ,
  • 87', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Da Silva E. , Suarez F. ,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
32.5%
Draw
31.4%
Racing Montevideo
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 28.1% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 26.7% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.65)
    3.15
    (3.29)
    2.9
    (1.99)
    -0.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
    • River Plate has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Racing has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Racing could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Racing Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    01.12.2024 Racing Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo 2:0
    29.07.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo 2:2
    02.06.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo 3:3
    03.09.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo 0:0
    Latest results of Racing Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

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