Result
2:3
07/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | MTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay 3 Urheilu |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/398) | 87% (473/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/398) | 87% (473/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/68) | 52% (14/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (73/99) | 77% (109/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.10 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
- 19', 2 - 0, Melamed N. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
- 27', Lopy D. 🟥,
- 36', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
- 37', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
- 45+2', Mantilla A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Melamed N. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
- 46', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Ramon P. ↑,
- 46', Aldasoro A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
- 59', 2 - 2, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽,
- 64', Leo Baptistao ↓, Lazaro ↑,
- 65', Embarba A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 65', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
- 73', Villalibre A. ↓, Santi F. ↑,
- 74', Baba I. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Puerta G. ⚽, Michelin C. (A),
- 83', Vicente I. 🟨,
- 84', Vicente I. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
- 90+1', Munoz A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Chirino D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4r4eumhj
Chances of winning
Almería
57.1% | Draw
23.3% | Racing Santander
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Almería - Racing Santander Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.7) |
4.13 ↑
(4.01) |
4.88 ↑
(4.4) |
4.4%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almería - Racing Santander?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 17.3% – 58.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 40%). Racing (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
- Recent performances by Almería have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B.
(Inactive)
Monte N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Racing: Arana J.
(Injury)
Gueye M.
(Injury)
Michelin C.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Racing Santander?
Almería has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Santander won against Almería?
Racing Santander has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Racing Santander were as follows:
18.05.2025
Almería
-
Racing Santander
2:0
18.08.2024
Racing Santander
-
Almería
2:2
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
