Almería vs Racing Santander – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

UD Almería Stadium (Almería).

LaLiga2 - Round 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Finland	MTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay 3 Urheilu
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.59
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
5	7
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
82% (326/398)	87% (473/541)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	0.90
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
5	7
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
20	17
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
4	4
Free Kicks
17	15
Passes
82% (326/398)	87% (473/541)
Long passes
43% (29/68)	52% (14/27)
Passes in final third
74% (73/99)	77% (109/142)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.63
Throw-ins
12	9
Fouls
15	18
Tackles
60% (15/25)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
52	52
Clearances
17	16
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.90	1.32
Goals prevented
-2.10	-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Melamed N. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
27', Lopy D. 🟥,
36', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
37', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
45+2', Mantilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Melamed N. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
46', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
46', Garcia M. ↓, Ramon P. ↑,
46', Aldasoro A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
59', 2 - 2, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽,
64', Leo Baptistao ↓, Lazaro ↑,
65', Embarba A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
65', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
73', Villalibre A. ↓, Santi F. ↑,
74', Baba I. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Puerta G. ⚽, Michelin C. (A),
83', Vicente I. 🟨,
84', Vicente I. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
90+1', Munoz A. 🟨,
90+2', Chirino D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4r4eumhj

Chances of winning

Almería
57.1%

Draw
23.3%

Racing Santander
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

26.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Almería - Racing Santander Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	4.13 ↑ (4.01)	4.88 ↑ (4.4)	4.4% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Almería - Racing Santander?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 17.3% – 58.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
Recent performances by Almería have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B. (Inactive) Monte N. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Gueye M. (Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Racing Santander?

Almería has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Racing Santander won against Almería?

Racing Santander has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Racing Santander were as follows:

18.05.2025 Almería - Racing Santander 2:0

18.08.2024 Racing Santander - Almería 2:2

Latest results of Almería

29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1 ✺

18.08.2025 Almería - Albacete Balompié 4:4 ✺

10.08.2025 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2 ✺

08.08.2025 Elche - Almería 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Racing Santander

30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1 ✺

25.08.2025 Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander 2:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 3:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Racing Santander - Cagliari 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Racing Santander - Cagliari 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	10	6	1	3	24:17	7	19
2	Las Palmas	10	5	3	2	11:6	5	18
3	Cadiz CF	10	5	3	2	11:9	2	18
4	Dep. La Coruna	10	4	4	2	18:11	7	16
5	Almeria	10	4	4	2	19:17	2	16
6	Burgos CF	10	4	3	3	16:11	5	15
7	Valladolid	10	4	3	3	12:9	3	15
8	Andorra	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15
9	Gijon	10	5	0	5	16:17	-1	15
10	Ceuta	10	4	3	3	10:12	-2	15
11	Leganes	10	3	5	2	10:7	3	14
12	Albacete	10	3	4	3	15:16	-1	13
13	Cordoba	10	3	4	3	11:13	-2	13
14	Huesca	9	4	1	4	8:11	-3	13
15	Eibar	10	3	3	4	11:10	1	12
16	Castellon	10	3	3	4	13:13	0	12
17	Cultural Leonesa	10	3	2	5	12:13	-1	11
18	Malaga	10	3	2	5	9:12	-3	11
19	Granada CF	10	2	4	4	11:15	-4	10
20	Real Sociedad B	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9
21	Mirandes	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9
22	Zaragoza	10	1	3	6	6:17	-11	6

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