Result
2:3
07/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | MTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay 3 Urheilu |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Orange Futbol 2 |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 0.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
82% (326/398) | 87% (473/541) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 0.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.32 | 0.90 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
82% (326/398) | 87% (473/541) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (29/68) | 52% (14/27) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (73/99) | 77% (109/142) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (5/13) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.89 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (15/25) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.90 | 1.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-2.10 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
- 19', 2 - 0, Melamed N. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
- 27', Lopy D. 🟥,
- 36', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
- 37', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
- 45+2', Mantilla A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Melamed N. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
- 46', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Ramon P. ↑,
- 46', Aldasoro A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
- 59', 2 - 2, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽,
- 64', Leo Baptistao ↓, Lazaro ↑,
- 65', Embarba A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 65', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
- 73', Villalibre A. ↓, Santi F. ↑,
- 74', Baba I. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Puerta G. ⚽, Michelin C. (A),
- 83', Vicente I. 🟨,
- 84', Vicente I. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
- 90+1', Munoz A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Chirino D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4r4eumhj
Chances of winning
Almería 57.1% | Draw 23.3% | Racing Santander 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Almería - Racing Santander Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↓ (1.7) |
4.13 ↑ (4.01) |
4.88 ↑ (4.4) |
4.4% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almería - Racing Santander?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 17.3% – 58.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
- Recent performances by Almería have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B.
(Inactive)
Monte N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Racing: Arana J.
(Injury)
Gueye M.
(Injury)
Michelin C.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Racing Santander?
Almería has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Santander won against Almería?
Racing Santander has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Racing Santander were as follows:
18.05.2025
Almería
-
Racing Santander
2:0
18.08.2024
Racing Santander
-
Almería
2:2
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Santander | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
2 | Gijon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
3 | Valladolid | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
4 | Dep. La Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
5 | Cadiz CF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Las Palmas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
7 | Malaga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Eibar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
9 | Andorra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Huesca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Mirandes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
12 | Burgos CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
13 | Almeria | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 5 |
14 | Real Sociedad B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Leganes | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
16 | Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Ceuta | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
18 | Zaragoza | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
19 | Castellon | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Albacete | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 1 |
21 | Granada CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
22 | Cultural Leonesa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation