Almería vs Racing Santander: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

UD Almería Stadium (Almería).

: LaLiga2 - Round 40

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.18	0.33
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
8	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
77% (244/318)	80% (349/437)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18	0.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.11	0.18
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
14	3
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
8	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
24	18
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
5	5
Free Kicks
14	20
Passes
77% (244/318)	80% (349/437)
Long passes
50% (33/66)	34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)	67% (85/127)
Crosses
44% (7/16)	9% (2/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	0.45
Throw-ins
19	20
Fouls
20	14
Tackles
83% (5/6)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
46	41
Clearances
28	16
Interceptions
13	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.18	2.11
Goals prevented
0.18	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vencedor U. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
46', Rodriguez P. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Puigmal A. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
55', Melero G. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
70', Puigmal A. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
71', Aldasoro A. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
71', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
79', Garcia M. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
80', Gueye M. 🟨,
85', Arribas S. ↓, Clua Oya S. ↑,
85', Leo Baptistao ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
90+5', Gui Guedes 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4wpr56u9

Chances of winning

Almería
54.3%

Draw
22.8%

Racing Santander
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

22.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Almería - Racing Santander Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)	4.14 ↓ (4.16)	4.13 ↑ (4)	6.2% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Almería - Racing Santander?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Racing will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 48.9% – 92.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Kaiky (Red Card) Langa B. (Red Card) Melamed N. (Red Card)
There will not play in Racing: Michelin C. (Yellow Cards) Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Racing Santander?

Almería has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Racing Santander won against Almería?

Racing Santander has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Racing Santander were as follows:

18.08.2024 Racing Santander - Almería 2:2

Latest results of Almería

09.05.2025 Cádiz - Almería 2:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Almería - Eldense 5:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Almería - Ferrol 2:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Castellón - Almería 4:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Almería - Cartagena 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Racing Santander

11.05.2025 Racing Santander - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Cartagena - Racing Santander 1:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Racing Santander - Deportivo La Coruña 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Huesca - Racing Santander 1:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Racing Santander?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Ecuador	DSports 9
India	GXR World
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+