Racing Santander vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.48
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
83% (404/486)81% (298/370)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.48
xG on target (xGOT)
4.160.99
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
83% (404/486)81% (298/370)
Long passes
50% (22/44)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
68% (97/143)58% (44/76)
Crosses
42% (8/19)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.921.00
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1615
Tackles
64% (9/14)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4256
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.994.16
Goals prevented
0.991.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Montero J. 🟥,
  • 45+2', Sangalli M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Mantilla A. , Michelin C. ,
  • 57', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
  • 60', Lobete J. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. , Sangalli M. (A),
  • 67', Villalibre A. , Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 67', Aldasoro A. , Puerta G. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Jeremy Arevalo , Salinas J. (A),
  • 75', Chupe , Ochoa A. ,
  • 75', Garcia V. , Jauregi E. ,
  • 82', Gabilondo J. , Rafita ,
  • 82', Rodriguez R. , Brasanac D. ,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Martin A. , Vicente I. (A),
  • 86', Martin A. , Camara S. ,
  • 86', Vicente I. , Sainz-Maza I. ,

Chances of winning


Racing Santander
50.5%
Draw
25.7%
Málaga
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.5% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.3% 22.6%

Racing Santander - Málaga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.87
(1.83)
3.64
(3.72)
3.92
(4.16)
6.5%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Málaga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Racing (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Málaga is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Puerta G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Red Card) Luismi (Face Injury) Merino I. (International duty) Munoz J. (Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Santander - Málaga were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 2:1
    23.11.2024 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:0
    05.03.2023 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:1
    01.10.2022 Racing Santander - Málaga 0:0
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    Latest results of Málaga
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1
    21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1
    13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander22125549:321741
    2Castellon22115636:251138
    3Las Palmas22108427:171038
    4Dep. La Coruna22107537:251237
    5Almeria22106641:32936
    6Malaga22105732:26635
    7Burgos CF22105726:20635
    8Cadiz CF2297625:24134
    9Gijon22103930:31-133
    10Cordoba2288627:25232
    11Ceuta2295825:29-432
    12Valladolid2277824:23128
    13Andorra2277825:30-528
    14Albacete2276927:34-727
    15Leganes2268823:23026
    16Eibar2267923:26-325
    17Cultural Leonesa22741124:34-1025
    18Real Sociedad B22661029:31-224
    19Granada CF22411723:27-423
    20Huesca22651120:31-1123
    21Zaragoza22561121:35-1421
    22Mirandes22451323:37-1417

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation