Racing Santander vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.48
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
83% (404/486)81% (298/370)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.48
xG on target (xGOT)
4.160.99
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
83% (404/486)81% (298/370)
Long passes
50% (22/44)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
68% (97/143)58% (44/76)
Crosses
42% (8/19)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.921.00
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1615
Tackles
64% (9/14)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4256
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.994.16
Goals prevented
0.991.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Montero J. 🟥,
  • 45+2', Sangalli M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
  • 57', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
  • 60', Lobete J. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. ⚽, Sangalli M. (A),
  • 67', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
  • 67', Aldasoro A. ↓, Puerta G. ↑,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
  • 75', Chupe ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
  • 75', Garcia V. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
  • 82', Gabilondo J. ↓, Rafita ↑,
  • 82', Rodriguez R. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
  • 86', Martin A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
  • 86', Vicente I. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Racing Santander
50.5%		Draw
25.7%		Málaga
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.5% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Racing Santander - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.87 ↑
    (1.83)    		 3.64 ↓
    (3.72)    		 3.92 ↓
    (4.16)    		 6.5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Málaga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Racing (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Málaga is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Puerta G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Red Card) Luismi (Face Injury) Merino I. (International duty) Munoz J. (Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Santander - Málaga were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 2:1
    23.11.2024 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:0
    05.03.2023 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:1
    01.10.2022 Racing Santander - Málaga 0:0
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    27.09.2025 Racing Santander - FC Andorra 1:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Córdoba - Racing Santander 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Racing Santander - Leonesa 2:4 ✺
    07.09.2025 Almería - Racing Santander 2:3 ✺
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Málaga
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0 ✺
    06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Castellon31148950:381250
    7Burgos CF31148936:261050
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Cultural Leonesa31771729:50-2128
    22Mirandes31761830:50-2027

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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