Result
1:1
09/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | Action 24 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 5 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (206/307) | 71% (209/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (206/307) | 71% (209/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/79) | 41% (28/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (65/106) | 62% (69/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (13/34) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 44', Nardoni J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Rodriguez I. ↓, Rojas G. ↑,
- 63', Adrian Martinez ↓, Torres E. ↑,
- 63', Almendra A. E. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
- 63', Vergara D. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
- 64', Velasco A. 🟨,
- 65', Cavani E. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 65', Velasco A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 75', Braida M. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 1, Solari S. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
- 79', Aguirre B. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 83', Rojas G. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
- 89', Conechny T. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 90', Gimenez M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Fernandez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
40.3% | Draw
32.5% | Racing
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors's form might have worsened.Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Boca Juniors - Racing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.04) |
2.91 ↓
(3.32) |
3.52 ↓
(3.73) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Racing?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
- Boca Juniors is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
- Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Costa A.
(Muscle Injury)
Figal J.
(Calf Injury)
Herrera A.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Racing: Arias G.
(Muscle Injury)
Vietto L.
(Back Injury)
Zaracho M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Racing?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Boca Juniors?
Racing has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Racing were as follows:
08.02.2025
Racing
-
Boca Juniors
2:0
14.09.2024
Racing
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
10.03.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Racing
4:2
24.10.2023
Racing
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
30.08.2023
Racing
-
Boca Juniors
0:1
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Instituto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
