Result
1:0
02/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (249/327) | 69% (156/227) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (249/327) | 69% (156/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (84/128) | 56% (38/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 46% (11/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Fernandez A. 🟨,
- 35', Sosa S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sosa S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mendez J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 46', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
- 52', Montero A. 🟨,
- 61', Fernandez A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
- 64', Sanchez R. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
- 65', Montero A. ↓, Acuna V. ↑,
- 65', Maroni G. ↓, Chiaverano G. ↑,
- 67', Herrera L. 🟨,
- 67', Martino A. 🟨,
- 80', Herrera L. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
- 81', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
- 81', Nardoni J. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
- 82', Solari S. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
- 84', Jacob T. ↓, Gigena T. ↑,
- 86', Chiaverano G. 🟨,
- 87', Fabbiani C. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 0, Banega E. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Racing
49.6% | Draw
26.6% | Newells Old Boys
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newells Old Boys's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Racing - Newells Old Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.54) |
3.56 ↓
(4.1) |
3.95 ↓
(5.75) |
5.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Racing - Newells Old Boys?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 20 - 87%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 73.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Racing (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
- Racing is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Racing could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Racing: Quiros S.
(Knock)
Zuculini B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L.
(Knee Injury)
Luciano M.
(Inactive)
Regiardo L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Silvetti M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Newells Old Boys?
Racing has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newells Old Boys won against Racing?
Newells Old Boys has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
16.08.2024
Newells Old Boys
-
Racing
0:1
12.02.2024
Newells Old Boys
-
Racing
0:4
20.09.2023
Racing
-
Newells Old Boys
2:1
12.04.2023
Racing
-
Newells Old Boys
0:1
Latest results of Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
