Unión Santa Fe vs Newells Old Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:3
17/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.480.80
Ball possession
73%27%
Total shots
285
Shots on target
103
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
154
Passes
81% (381/468)61% (115/188)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
2.480.80
xG on target (xGOT)
5.100.55
Total shots
285
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
80
Shots inside the box
234
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
10
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
154
Touches in opposition box
5410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
146
Passes
81% (381/468)61% (115/188)
Long passes
66% (44/67)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
71% (117/165)51% (24/47)
Crosses
31% (18/58)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.000.50
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
814
Tackles
50% (8/16)67% (16/24)
Duels won
7362
Clearances
1160
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
18
xGOT faced
0.555.10
Goals prevented
-1.453.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Estigarribia M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Mansilla M. (Own goal),
  • 32', Regiardo L. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Russo J. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Herrera L. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
  • 46', Cuello B. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
  • 62', Profini R. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
  • 65', Guch F. ↓, Noguera F. ↑,
  • 65', Mendez A. ↓, Ortega M. ↑,
  • 67', Russo J. 🟨,
  • 69', Vargas L. 🟨,
  • 76', Scarpeccio F. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Ramirez I. ⚽,
  • 78', Ortega M. 🟨,
  • 81', Pitton M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Menossi L. ⚽,
  • 90', Mazzantti W. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
  • 90', Rodriguez M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
  • 90+4', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Palacios J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
55.5%		Draw
27.5%		Newells Old Boys
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 26.3% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 25.3% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↑
    (1.58)    		 3.43 ↓
    (3.5)    		 5.47 ↓
    (6)    		 6.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • EH -2 - Newells Old Boys (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Newells Old Boys (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Newells Old Boys (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Newells Old Boys (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Newells Old Boys (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Newells Old Boys (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Newells Old Boys (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Newells Old Boys (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Newells Old Boys (4.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DNB - Newells Old Boys (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Unión is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Unión: Diaz D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Acuna V. (Inactive) Arias G. (Broken calfbone) Cabrera B. (Injury) Goitea N. (Inactive) Montero A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Unión: Paz N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Coccaro M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe 0:1
    18.04.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys 1:1
    01.11.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys 2:0
    09.02.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys 1:3
    16.09.2023 Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe 1:1
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    11.04.2026 Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe 2:1 ✺
    03.04.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra 2:0 ✺
    30.03.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Agropecuario Argentino 2:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe 2:0 ✺
    15.03.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    12.04.2026 Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2026 Central Córdoba - Newells Old Boys 1:3 ✺
    29.03.2026 Newells Old Boys - Acassuso 0:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 1:0 ✺
    17.03.2026 Lanús - Newells Old Boys 5:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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