Result
1:0
23/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (179/304) | 68% (250/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (179/304) | 68% (250/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (22/76) | 39% (26/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (75/133) | 58% (55/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 81 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 2.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 25', Nardoni J. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Galvan T. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 46', Aliendro R. ↓, Andrada T. ↑,
- 66', Almendra A. E. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
- 66', Conechny T. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 68', Santos M. ↓, Braian Romero ↑,
- 70', Pardo F. 🟨,
- 82', Rojas G. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Solari S. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
- 84', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 85', Rojas G. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
- 86', Solari S. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
- 88', Machuca I. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 88', Lagos A. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Racing
42% | Draw
30.6% | Vélez Sársfield
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Racing - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.34) |
3.12 ↓
(3.16) |
3.49 ↑
(3.31) |
4.6%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Racing - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
- Racing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vélez is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Racing could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Racing: Rojo M.
(Inactive)
Solari S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Braian Romero
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Magallan L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Vélez: Cavanagh T.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Racing won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Vélez Sársfield?
Racing has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Racing?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
16.09.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Racing
0:1
05.10.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Racing
1:0
17.06.2023
Racing
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | LDU Quito | Palmeiras | |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Racing Club | |
Final
