Result
1:3
30/03/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.02 | 1.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
80% (318/399) | 71% (187/262) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.02 | 1.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.73 | 2.34 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 11 |
Through passes |
---|
0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
80% (318/399) | 71% (187/262) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (22/54) | 28% (16/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (74/122) | 51% (40/78) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (8/35) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 0.41 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (10/18) | 63% (12/19) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 54 |
Clearances Total |
---|
26 | 41 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.34 | 0.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.66 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Resta P. ⚽, Pieczek M. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Burch M. ⚽,
- 12', Resta P. 🟨,
- 27', Jordao B. 🟨,
- 28', Pedro N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', Zwozny H. ↓, Godinho M. ↑,
- 60', Dlugosz W. ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
- 64', Tapsoba A. ↓, Capita ↑,
- 64', Pedro Perotti ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 64', Ramos F. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 67', Dadashov R. 🟨,
- 72', Jordao B. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Capita ⚽, Dadashov R. (A),
- 84', Pedro N. ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
- 84', Smolarczyk B. ↓, Shikavka Y. ↑,
- 86', Wolski R. ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Capita ⚽, Dadashov R. (A),
- 90+4', Capita 🟨,
- 90+6', Golubickas P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce 39.4% | Draw 29.8% | Radomiak Radom 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)The chances for Radomiak Radom have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↑ (2.33) |
3.14 ↓ (3.21) |
3.05 ↑ (3.04) |
6.5% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Korona won 3.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- Korona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M.
(Knee Injury)
Donis C.
(Yellow Cards)
Henrique P.
(Yellow Cards)
Snopczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Radomiak: Molendowski M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Korona won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Radomiak Radom?
Korona Kielce has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Korona Kielce?
Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
20.09.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Korona Kielce
4:0
19.04.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Radomiak Radom
4:0
22.10.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
11.03.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Radomiak Radom
2:1
27.08.2022
Radomiak Radom
-
Korona Kielce
0:2
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1