Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom
Result
1:3
30/03/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.76
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
80% (318/399)71% (187/262)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.732.34
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2111
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
80% (318/399)71% (187/262)
Long passes
41% (22/54)28% (16/58)
Passes in final third
61% (74/122)51% (40/78)
Crosses
23% (8/35)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.41
Fouls
1217
Tackles
56% (10/18)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5254
Clearances Total
2641
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
2.340.73
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Resta P. , Pieczek M. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Burch M. ,
  • 12', Resta P. 🟨,
  • 27', Jordao B. 🟨,
  • 28', Pedro N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 60', Zwozny H. , Godinho M. ,
  • 60', Dlugosz W. , Blanik D. ,
  • 64', Tapsoba A. , Capita ,
  • 64', Pedro Perotti , Dadashov R. ,
  • 64', Ramos F. , Alves R. ,
  • 67', Dadashov R. 🟨,
  • 72', Jordao B. , Golubickas P. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Capita , Dadashov R. (A),
  • 84', Pedro N. , Strzeboński M. ,
  • 84', Smolarczyk B. , Shikavka Y. ,
  • 86', Wolski R. , Zie Ouattara ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 3, Capita , Dadashov R. (A),
  • 90+4', Capita 🟨,
  • 90+6', Golubickas P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
39.4%
Draw
29.8%
Radomiak Radom
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.1% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 28.7% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The chances for Radomiak Radom have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.33)
    3.14
    (3.21)
    3.05
    (3.04)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Korona won 3.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Korona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury) Donis C. (Yellow Cards) Henrique P. (Yellow Cards) Snopczynski J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Radomiak: Molendowski M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Korona won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 4:0
    19.04.2024 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 4:0
    22.10.2023 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 1:1
    11.03.2023 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 2:1
    27.08.2022 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 0:2
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Radomiak Radom21106:244
    3Termalica B-B21014:223
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    10Piast Gliwice00000:000
    11Legia00000:000
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1