Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/03/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Exbud Arena (Kielce).

Ekstraklasa - Round 26
Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	1.76
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
80% (318/399)	71% (187/262)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	1.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	2.34
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
12	3
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
21	11
Through passes
0% (0/1)	50% (1/2)
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
17	12
Passes
80% (318/399)	71% (187/262)
Long passes
41% (22/54)	28% (16/58)
Passes in final third
61% (74/122)	51% (40/78)
Crosses
23% (8/35)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	0.41
Fouls
12	17
Tackles
56% (10/18)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
52	54
Clearances Total
26	41
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
2.34	0.73
Goals prevented
-0.66	-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Resta P. ⚽, Pieczek M. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Burch M. ⚽,
12', Resta P. 🟨,
27', Jordao B. 🟨,
28', Pedro N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Zwozny H. ↓, Godinho M. ↑,
60', Dlugosz W. ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
64', Tapsoba A. ↓, Capita ↑,
64', Pedro Perotti ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
64', Ramos F. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
67', Dadashov R. 🟨,
72', Jordao B. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Capita ⚽, Dadashov R. (A),
84', Pedro N. ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
84', Smolarczyk B. ↓, Shikavka Y. ↑,
86', Wolski R. ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Capita ⚽, Dadashov R. (A),
90+4', Capita 🟨,
90+6', Golubickas P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Korona Kielce
39.4%

Draw
29.8%

Radomiak Radom
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Radomiak Radom have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.33)	3.14 ↓ (3.21)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	6.5% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 9.6% – 70.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Korona won 3.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Korona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury) Donis C. (Yellow Cards) Henrique P. (Yellow Cards) Snopczynski J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Radomiak: Molendowski M. (Knee Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Korona won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.4:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 2.3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Radomiak Radom?

Korona Kielce has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Korona Kielce?

Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom were as follows:

20.09.2024 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 4:0

19.04.2024 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 4:0

22.10.2023 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 1:1

11.03.2023 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 2:1

27.08.2022 Radomiak Radom - Korona Kielce 0:2

Latest results of Korona Kielce

16.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce 1:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce 0:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Ruch Chorzów - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Korona Kielce - Śląsk Wrocław 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

14.03.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Cracovia - Radomiak Radom 1:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Radomiak Radom 3:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	6:2	4	4
3	Termalica B-B	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
4	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
6	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
8	Rakow	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
9	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
10	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
13	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
15	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
16	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
17	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1