Result
2:2
29/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (322/394) | 82% (274/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (322/394) | 82% (274/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (106/144) | 76% (90/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
- 36', Dieguez A. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Zie Ouattara ⚽, Maurides (A),
- 43', Brkic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', van Hoeven B. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽,
- 59', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 60', Krol M. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
- 68', Ndiaye M. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 71', Baro R. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
- 71', Camara I. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 77', Capita ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 77', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Scalet M. ⚽,
- 85', Tapsoba A. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 85', Wolski R. ↓, Depu ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Depu ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
- 89', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
42% | Draw
27.2% | Radomiak Radom
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.3) |
3.48 ↑
(3.46) |
3.06 ↑
(2.93) |
6%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2.
- Motor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Radomiak is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Motor has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Radomiak Radom?
Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Motor Lublin?
Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
24.05.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Motor Lublin
2:3
02.12.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Radomiak Radom
1:0
12.07.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Motor Lublin
1:1
02.02.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Motor Lublin
2:1
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:25 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
