Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (311/361) | 85% (361/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (311/361) | 85% (361/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 33% (10/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (84/104) | 75% (93/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 23% (9/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽, Samper S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Wolski R. ⚽,
- 57', Bartos M. 🟨,
- 62', Camara I. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
- 64', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
- 65', Wojcik F. ↓, Stolarski P. ↑,
- 65', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 73', Samper S. 🟨,
- 74', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 75', Wolski R. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 75', Lopes V. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
- 83', Ndiaye M. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 83', Maurides ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 84', Wolski B. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
- 84', Baro R. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
41.9% | Draw
26.7% | Motor Lublin
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.09) |
3.53 ↓
(3.69) |
3 ↓
(3.31) |
6.2%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Motor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
- Radomiak has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Motor is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Radomiak might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R.
(Groin Injury)
Kingue S.
(Yellow Cards)
Zie Ouattara
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Motor: Plichta K.
(Injury)
Scalet M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Motor: Najemski A.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Motor Lublin?
Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Radomiak Radom?
Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin were as follows:
29.09.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Radomiak Radom
2:2
24.05.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Motor Lublin
2:3
02.12.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Radomiak Radom
1:0
12.07.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Motor Lublin
1:1
02.02.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Motor Lublin
2:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
