Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 10
Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	1.79
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
11	20
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
82% (322/394)	82% (274/336)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.20	1.59
Total shots
11	20
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	12
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
7	14
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
25	26
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
14	10
Passes
82% (322/394)	82% (274/336)
Long passes
33% (6/18)	56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
74% (106/144)	76% (90/118)
Crosses
16% (4/25)	38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.54	1.55
Throw-ins
17	15
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
76% (13/17)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
47	45
Clearances
24	27
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.59	2.20
Goals prevented
-0.41	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
36', Dieguez A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Zie Ouattara ⚽, Maurides (A),
43', Brkic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', van Hoeven B. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Czubak K. ⚽,
59', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
60', Krol M. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
68', Ndiaye M. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
71', Baro R. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
71', Camara I. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
77', Capita ↓, Balde E. ↑,
77', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Scalet M. ⚽,
85', Tapsoba A. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
85', Wolski R. ↓, Depu ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Depu ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
89', Zie Ouattara 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Motor Lublin
42%

Draw
27.2%

Radomiak Radom
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

26.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.3)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	3.06 ↑ (2.93)	6% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 23.4% – 70.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Radomiak (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2.
Motor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Radomiak is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Motor has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Radomiak Radom?

Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Motor Lublin?

Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom were as follows:

24.05.2025 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 2:3

02.12.2024 Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom 1:0

12.07.2024 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 1:1

02.02.2024 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 2:1

Latest results of Motor Lublin

25.09.2025 Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin 2:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

25.09.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice 1:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺

29.08.2025 GKS Katowice - Radomiak Radom 3:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Radomiak Radom - Termalica Nieciecza 1:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	46:37	9	44
2	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	40:30	10	41
3	Jagiellonia	26	11	8	7	43:34	9	41
4	Gornik Zabrze	26	11	6	9	36:32	4	39
5	Wisla Plock	26	10	9	7	28:25	3	39
6	Rakow	26	11	5	10	35:33	2	38
7	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	35:38	-3	37
8	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	33:29	4	36
9	Cracovia	26	9	9	8	31:28	3	36
10	GKS Katowice	26	11	3	12	35:35	0	36
11	Piast Gliwice	26	10	5	11	32:33	-1	35
12	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	51:48	3	34
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	36:40	-4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	42:40	2	33
15	Legia	26	6	12	8	30:31	-1	30
16	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	25:44	-19	30
17	Widzew Lodz	26	8	5	13	31:34	-3	29
18	Termalica B-B	26	5	7	14	30:48	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1