Result
2:3
24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 34
- Referee: Musial T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 2.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/447) | 78% (240/308) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 2.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/447) | 78% (240/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (46/73) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (83/120) | 65% (51/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Ndiaye M. J. ⚽, Caliskaner K. (A),
- 30', Alves R. 🟨,
- 45+3', Pedro Perotti 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 1, Henrique P. ⚽, Barbosa R. (A),
- 53', 1 - 2, Mraz S. ⚽, Matthys H. (A),
- 56', Agouzoul S. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 3, Mraz S. ⚽,
- 59', Ede B. 🟨,
- 62', Zie Ouattara ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 62', Kaput M. ↓, Jordao B. ↑,
- 63', Ramos F. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 65', Caliskaner K. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 65', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 71', Pedro Perotti ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 76', Wojcik F. ↓, Stolarski P. ↑,
- 76', Ceglarz P. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 80', Barbosa R. ↓, Leandro ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Leandro ⚽, Tapsoba A. (A),
- 90+3', Ede B. ↓, Kruk K. ↑,
- 90+5', Scalet M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kruk K. 🟨,
- 90+7', Tratnik G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
47.3% | Draw
26.6% | Motor Lublin
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.1) |
3.54 ↑
(3.5) |
3.56 ↑
(3.25) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Radomiak Radom will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Radomiak could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M.
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme
(Inactive)
Snopczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Motor: Augustin J.
(Injury)
Bartos M.
(Injury)
Brkic I.
(Knee Injury)
Kruk K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Motor Lublin?
Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Radomiak Radom?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin were as follows:
02.12.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Radomiak Radom
1:0
12.07.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Motor Lublin
1:1
02.02.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Motor Lublin
2:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
