Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 27
  • Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.821.17
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
24
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
610
Passes
86% (311/361)85% (361/423)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.821.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.141.18
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
126
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
118
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
610
Touches in opposition box
3029
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1415
Passes
86% (311/361)85% (361/423)
Long passes
53% (24/45)33% (10/30)
Passes in final third
81% (84/104)75% (93/124)
Crosses
36% (9/25)23% (9/39)
Expected assists (xA)
1.262.29
Throw ins
2114
Fouls
1514
Tackles
82% (9/11)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4648
Clearances
3822
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.181.14
Goals prevented
0.180.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Czubak K. , Samper S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Wolski R. ,
  • 57', Bartos M. 🟨,
  • 62', Camara I. , Donis C. ,
  • 64', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
  • 65', Wojcik F. , Stolarski P. ,
  • 65', Fabio Ronaldo , van Hoeven B. ,
  • 73', Samper S. 🟨,
  • 74', Samper S. , Labojko J. ,
  • 75', Wolski R. , Balde E. ,
  • 75', Lopes V. , Soumah S. ,
  • 83', Ndiaye M. , Krol M. ,
  • 83', Maurides , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 84', Wolski B. , Karasek K. ,
  • 84', Baro R. , Kaput M. ,

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
41.9%
Draw
26.7%
Motor Lublin
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 25.8% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 26.3% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.09)
    3.53
    (3.69)
    3
    (3.31)
    6.2%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Motor will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
    • Radomiak has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Motor is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Radomiak might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R. (Groin Injury) Kingue S. (Yellow Cards) Zie Ouattara (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Motor: Plichta K. (Injury) Scalet M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Motor: Najemski A. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    29.09.2025 Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom 2:2
    24.05.2025 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 2:3
    02.12.2024 Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom 1:0
    12.07.2024 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 1:1
    02.02.2024 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 2:1
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan311510656:411555
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3GKS Katowice311451248:42647
    4Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    5Rakow301371043:37646
    6Zaglebie311291043:36745
    7Wisla Plock311291032:31145
    8Pogon Szczecin311251443:45-241
    9Piast Gliwice311171340:41-140
    10Legia31913935:36-140
    11Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    12Korona Kielce311091238:37139
    13Cracovia319121035:38-339
    14Motor Lublin319121039:46-739
    15Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    16Widzew Lodz311061536:38-236
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B31771737:60-2328

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