Result
2:2
16/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 8 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
85% (434/510) | 83% (328/393) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.52 | 0.92 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
22 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
85% (434/510) | 83% (328/393) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (31/60) | 53% (23/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (82/121) | 74% (82/111) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 29% (6/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.45 | 1.09 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
3 | 22 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.92 | 2.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.08 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Henrique P. ⚽, Alves R. (A),
- 43', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Cavaleiro I. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zie Ouattara ↓, Kingue S. ↑,
- 46', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 46', Bukowski A. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
- 61', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Getinger K. ↑,
- 62', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 63', Barbosa R. ↓, Capita ↑,
- 63', Ramos F. ↓, Jordao B. ↑,
- 72', Tapsoba A. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Guillaumier M. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
- 79', Donis C. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Wlazlo P. (Own goal),
- 84', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
- 90+4', Capita 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec 37.6% | Draw 28.3% | Radomiak Radom 34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.5 ↑ (2.49) |
3.31 ↑ (3.25) |
2.76 ↑ (2.73) |
6.4% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Radomiak will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 12).
- Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Pajnowski K.
(Inactive)
Tkacz D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M.
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme
(Inactive)
Snopczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Radomiak Radom?
Stal Mielec has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Stal Mielec?
Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
24.11.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Stal Mielec
1:2
04.03.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Stal Mielec
2:1
25.08.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Radomiak Radom
2:0
05.02.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1