Result
2:2
16/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 8 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (434/510) | 83% (328/393) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (434/510) | 83% (328/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 53% (23/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (82/121) | 74% (82/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Henrique P. ⚽, Alves R. (A),
- 43', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Cavaleiro I. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zie Ouattara ↓, Kingue S. ↑,
- 46', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 46', Bukowski A. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
- 61', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Getinger K. ↑,
- 62', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 63', Barbosa R. ↓, Capita ↑,
- 63', Ramos F. ↓, Jordao B. ↑,
- 72', Tapsoba A. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Guillaumier M. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
- 79', Donis C. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Wlazlo P. (Own goal),
- 84', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
- 90+4', Capita 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec
37.6% | Draw
28.3% | Radomiak Radom
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.49) |
3.31 ↑
(3.25) |
2.76 ↑
(2.73) |
6.4%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Radomiak will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 12).
- Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Pajnowski K.
(Inactive)
Tkacz D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M.
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme
(Inactive)
Snopczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Radomiak Radom?
Stal Mielec has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Stal Mielec?
Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
24.11.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Stal Mielec
1:2
04.03.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Stal Mielec
2:1
25.08.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Radomiak Radom
2:0
05.02.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
