Result
0:2
27/04/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals
- Referee: Murphy F. (Irl)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 71% (32/45) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 53% (9/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 50% (2/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (13/45) | 37% (17/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 48% (11/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 80% (4/5) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (41/67) | 66% (41/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 39% (26/67) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (62/129) | 52% (67/129) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 36% (4/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Alex De Minaur
58.5% | Rafael Nadal
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex De Minaur's performance.Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rafael Nadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex De Minaur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rafael Nadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.34 ↑
(1.83) |
3.8%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal?
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 27 - 48.2%). Nadal will win (votes: 29 - 51.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nadal: 38.7% – 64.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 2.
- One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
- Nadal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- De Minaur will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Rafael Nadal?
Alex De Minaur has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rafael Nadal won against Alex De Minaur?
Rafael Nadal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal were as follows:
17.04.2024
Alex De Minaur
-
Rafael Nadal
2:0
02.01.2023
Rafael Nadal
-
Alex De Minaur
1:2
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Latest results of Rafael Nadal
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bautista-Agut R. | Munar J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | |
| 5 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Bye | |
| 6 | Moutet C. (RET.) | Mayot H. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Comesana F. | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fils A. (13) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Lajovic D. (Q) | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Mensik J. (22) | |
| 13 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Michelsen A. | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Monfils G. | Gojo B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Rublev A. (7) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | O'Connell C. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Bonzi B. | Cilic M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Hurkacz H. (27) | |
| 21 | Korda S. (23) | Bye | |
| 22 | Cina F. (WC) | Wong C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Safiullin R. | Rinderknech A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Ruud C. (14) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Fognini F. (Q) | Djere L. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | |
| 29 | Nakashima B. (31) | Bye | |
| 30 | Ofner S. (PR) | Gaston H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Marozsan F. | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Rune H. (8) | |
| 33 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Griekspoor T. | Kopriva V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Tien L. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Berrettini M. (30) | |
| 37 | Khachanov K. (24) | Bye | |
| 38 | Opelka R. (PR) | Hijikata R. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Fonseca J. | Moller E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Paul T. (11) | |
| 41 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Halys Q. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Goffin D. (RET.) | Muller A. | 1 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Humbert U. (21) | |
| 45 | Baez S. (32) | Bye | |
| 46 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Arnaldi M. | Coric B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 49 | De Minaur A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Sonego L. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Vukic A. | Nishikori K. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (29) | |
| 53 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Van De Zandschulp B. (RET.) (LL) | Struff J-L. | 1 : 1 |
| 55 | Etcheverry T. M. | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Musetti L. (10) | |
| 57 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Altmaier D. (Q) | Jarry N. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Bu Y. | Fearnley J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Machac T. (19) | |
| 61 | Lehecka J. (26) | Bye | |
| 62 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Norrie C. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Bergs Z. | Diallo G. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Majchrzak K. (LL) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Mayot H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Comesana F. | Fils A. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (12) | Navone M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Mensik J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bublik A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Monfils G. | Rublev A. (WO.) (7) | |
| 9 | Fritz T. (3) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bonzi B. | Hurkacz H. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Korda S. (23) | Cina F. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Rinderknech A. | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (WO.) (9) | Djere L. | |
| 14 | Cerundolo J. M. | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. (31) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cobolli F. | Rune H. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 0 |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Giron M. | Berrettini M. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Khachanov K. (24) | Opelka R. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Fonseca J. | Paul T. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Darderi L. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 22 | Muller A. | Humbert U. (21) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Baez S. (32) | Dzumhur D. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Arnaldi M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (6) | Sonego L. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Nishikori K. | Shapovalov D. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Struff J-L. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Etcheverry T. M. | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Fearnley J. | Machac T. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Lehecka J. (26) | Norrie C. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Diallo G. (LL) | Majchrzak K. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Davidovich Fokina A. (28) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (12) | Mensik J. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bublik A. | Rublev A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (3) | Bonzi B. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Korda S. (23) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (9) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. (31) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Berrettini M. (RET.) (30) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Khachanov K. (24) | Paul T. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Dzumhur D. | Arnaldi M. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (6) | Shapovalov D. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tsitsipas S. (17) | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Norrie C. | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Cerundolo F. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Mensik J. (22) | Bublik A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (3) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (9) | Nakashima B. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Paul T. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tiafoe F. (16) | Arnaldi M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (6) | Musetti L. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Dimitrov G. (15) | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Mensik J. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (14) | Medvedev D. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Draper J. (5) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Musetti L. (10) | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (20) | Ruud C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Draper J. (5) | Musetti L. (10) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Ruud C. (14) | Draper J. (5) | 2 : 1 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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|---|
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