Magnolia Hotshots vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
82:91
25/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Commissioner's Cup

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Magnolia Hotshots
38.5%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 54.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magnolia Hotshots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Rain or Shine Elasto Painters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnolia Hotshots than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magnolia Hotshots, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rain or Shine Elasto Painters than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rain or Shine Elasto Painters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Magnolia Hotshots - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.28)

    1.51
    (1.57)
    7.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 212.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magnolia Hotshots won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Rain or Shine might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Magnolia Hotshots won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1994:1856. (average 99.7:92.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magnolia Hotshots won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 851:851. (average 94.6:94.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magnolia Hotshots - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters were as follows:
    15.12.2025 Magnolia Hotshots - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 92:101
    18.05.2025 Magnolia Hotshots - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 105:119
    18.12.2024 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - Magnolia Hotshots 102:100
    05.10.2024 Magnolia Hotshots - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters 103:113
    01.10.2024 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters - Magnolia Hotshots 100:129
    Latest results of Magnolia Hotshots
    Philippines - Commissioners Cup Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Rain or Shine Elasto Painters9811022:9240.889
    2NLEX Road Warriors972930:8850.778
    3Barangay Ginebra San Miguel972949:8920.778
    4TNT Tropang 5G963944:8950.667
    5Meralco Bolts853840:8110.625
    6Phoenix Fuelmasters954942:9220.556
    7San Miguel Beermen10551036:10600.500
    8Magnolia Hotshots945897:8660.444
    9Converge FiberXers10461017:10190.400
    10Terrafirma Dyip936891:9190.333
    11Titan Ultra Giant Risers927872:9870.222
    12Macau Black Bears10281060:11250.200
    13Blackwater Bossing10281014:11090.200

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