Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 33
  • Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomGrenock Morton, Raith TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.003.00
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
75
Corner kicks
92
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.003.00
Total shots
127
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
52
Corner kicks
92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Blues C. , Moffat O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 50', Montagu K. , Brown S. ,
  • 55', Moffat O. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Nsio P. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Cameron I. , Rowe J. (A),
  • 67', Moffat O. , O'Halloran M. ,
  • 70', Blues C. 🟨,
  • 71', Matthews R. , Vaughan L. ,
  • 71', Rowe J. , Doherty J. ,
  • 71', Cameron I. , Hamilton J. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Shaw N. , O'Halloran M. (A),
  • 78', Easton D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 79', Garrity M. , Lyall A. ,
  • 82', Mullin J. , Chin R. ,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Doherty J. , Stevenson L. (A),
  • 85', Blues C. , Owens F. ,

Chances of winning


Raith Rovers
49.4%
Draw
27.9%
Greenock Morton
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 29.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 28.4% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Raith Rovers aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.92)
    3.35
    (3.16)
    4.13
    (4.03)
    6.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Greenock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Raith has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Raith is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers 0:0
    01.11.2025 Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton 1:1
    06.09.2025 Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers 0:1
    26.04.2025 Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton 1:1
    25.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers 3:3
    Latest results of Raith Rovers
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone331911362:253768
    2Partick Thistle331712450:331763
    3Arbroath3312111041:40147
    4Dunfermline321371248:371146
    5Raith321091337:36139
    6Ayr338151036:42-639
    7Queen's Park329121134:43-939
    8Morton338121335:47-1236
    9Airdrieonians32791628:43-1530
    10Ross County336101728:53-2528

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One