Arda Kardzhali vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.81
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
78% (338/434)73% (299/409)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.622.62
Total shots
812
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
78% (338/434)73% (299/409)
Long passes
51% (35/69)36% (24/67)
Passes in final third
59% (61/104)55% (51/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.50
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1515
Tackles
65% (11/17)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
2014
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.621.62
Goals prevented
0.620.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Barath P. ,
  • 35', Racovitan B. 🟨,
  • 44', Barath P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yusein S. , Vutov A. ,
  • 48', Nikolov G. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Vutov A. (Pen),
  • 60', Ameyaw M. , Lopez I. ,
  • 60', Pienko T. , Diaz J. ,
  • 66', Karagaren B. , Shinyashiki A. ,
  • 66', Velev V. , Gustavo Cascardo ,
  • 70', Nikolov G. 🟨,
  • 74', Barath P. , Bulat M. ,
  • 79', Brunes J. , Rocha L. ,
  • 79', Silva J. , Adriano ,
  • 80', Idowu D. , Patrick Luan ,
  • 85', Kovachev S. , Mane I. ,
  • 90+1', Velkovski D. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Lopez I. ,
  • 90+5', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Patrick Luan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arda Kardzhali
20%
Draw
27.7%
Raków Częstochowa
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 26.4% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 28% 51.5%

Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.02
(3.64)
3.54
(3.45)
1.86
(1.87)
1.9%
(9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Raków will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 49.8%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Arda Kardzhali 1:0
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)