Arda Kardzhali vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena Arda (Kardzhali).

Conference League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.81
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
78% (338/434)	73% (299/409)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.62	2.62
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
14	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
15	14
Passes
78% (338/434)	73% (299/409)
Long passes
51% (35/69)	36% (24/67)
Passes in final third
59% (61/104)	55% (51/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.48	0.50
Throw-ins
23	21
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
65% (11/17)	47% (8/17)
Duels won
56	56
Clearances
20	14
Interceptions
12	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
2.62	1.62
Goals prevented
0.62	0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Barath P. ⚽,
35', Racovitan B. 🟨,
44', Barath P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
48', Nikolov G. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Vutov A. (Pen),
60', Ameyaw M. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
60', Pienko T. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
66', Karagaren B. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
66', Velev V. ↓, Gustavo Cascardo ↑,
70', Nikolov G. 🟨,
74', Barath P. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
79', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
79', Silva J. ↓, Adriano ↑,
80', Idowu D. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
85', Kovachev S. ↓, Mane I. ↑,
90+1', Velkovski D. 🟥,
90+3', Lopez I. (Pen),
90+3', 1 - 2, Lopez I. ⚽,
90+5', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
90+5', Diaz J. 🟨,
90+6', Patrick Luan 🟨,

Chances of winning

Arda Kardzhali
20%

Draw
27.7%

Raków Częstochowa
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

28%

51.5%

Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (3.64)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	1.9% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Raków will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Arda (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Arda (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.75 - Arda (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Raków (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Raków (votes: 11 - 73.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Raków Częstochowa?

Arda Kardzhali has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Arda Kardzhali?

Raków Częstochowa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:

21.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Arda Kardzhali 1:0

Latest results of Arda Kardzhali

25.08.2025 Slavia Sofia - Arda Kardzhali 2:0 ✺

21.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Arda Kardzhali 1:0 ✺

14.08.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris 2:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0:0 ✺

07.08.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Arda Kardzhali 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

21.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Arda Kardzhali 1:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa 2:3 ✺

14.08.2025 Maccabi Haifa - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

07.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Maccabi Haifa 0:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 3:1 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	11:5	6	16
2	Rakow	6	4	2	0	9:2	7	14
3	AEK Athens	6	4	1	1	14:7	7	13
4	Sparta Prague	6	4	1	1	10:3	7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13:7	6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
7	Mainz	6	4	1	1	7:3	4	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	7:1	6	12
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11:6	5	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	12:8	4	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10:6	4	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8:5	3	9
16	Rijeka	6	2	3	1	5:2	3	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	5:4	1	9
18	Omonia	6	2	2	2	5:4	1	8
19	Noah	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	4:8	-4	8
21	KuPS	6	1	4	1	6:5	1	7
22	Shkendija	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7
23	Zrinjski	6	2	1	3	8:10	-2	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
25	Univ. Craiova	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps	6	2	1	3	7:15	-8	7
27	Dyn. Kyiv	6	2	0	4	9:9	0	6
28	Legia	6	2	0	4	8:8	0	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	2	0	4	5:9	-4	6
30	Breidablik	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	1	1	4	7:13	-6	4
32	Hacken	6	0	3	3	5:8	-3	3
33	Hamrun	6	1	0	5	4:11	-7	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	0:7	-7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	3:14	-11	2
36	SK Rapid	6	0	1	5	3:14	-11	1

Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)