Arda Kardzhali vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa
Result
1:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.81
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
78% (338/434)73% (299/409)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.622.62
Total shots
812
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
78% (338/434)73% (299/409)
Long passes
51% (35/69)36% (24/67)
Passes in final third
59% (61/104)55% (51/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.50
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1515
Tackles
65% (11/17)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
2014
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.621.62
Goals prevented
0.620.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Barath P. ,
  • 35', Racovitan B. 🟨,
  • 44', Barath P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yusein S. , Vutov A. ,
  • 48', Nikolov G. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Vutov A. (Pen),
  • 60', Ameyaw M. , Lopez I. ,
  • 60', Pienko T. , Diaz J. ,
  • 66', Karagaren B. , Shinyashiki A. ,
  • 66', Velev V. , Gustavo Cascardo ,
  • 70', Nikolov G. 🟨,
  • 74', Barath P. , Bulat M. ,
  • 79', Brunes J. , Rocha L. ,
  • 79', Silva J. , Adriano ,
  • 80', Idowu D. , Patrick Luan ,
  • 85', Kovachev S. , Mane I. ,
  • 90+1', Velkovski D. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Lopez I. ,
  • 90+5', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Patrick Luan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arda Kardzhali
20%
Draw
27.7%
Raków Częstochowa
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 26.4% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 28% 51.5%

Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.02
(3.64)
3.54
(3.45)
1.86
(1.87)
1.9%
(9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Raków will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 49.8%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Arda Kardzhali 1:0
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor33007:079
    2Celje33007:259
    3Mainz33004:139
    4AEK Larnaca32105:057
    5Lausanne32105:147
    6Rayo Vallecano32107:437
    7Strasbourg32105:327
    8Fiorentina32016:246
    9Crystal Palace32015:236
    10Shakhtar Donetsk32016:426
    11KuPS31204:225
    12Rakow31203:125
    13Drita31203:215
    14Jagiellonia31203:215
    15AEK Athens FC31118:444
    16Sparta Prague31114:224
    17Noah31113:304
    18Rijeka31112:204
    19Sigma Olomouc31113:4-14
    20Univ. Craiova31112:3-14
    21Shkendija31112:3-14
    22Lincoln Red Imps31113:7-44
    23Lech Poznan31027:613
    24Dyn. Kyiv31026:513
    25Legia31023:4-13
    26Zrinjski31025:7-23
    27AZ Alkmaar31022:7-53
    28Hacken30213:4-12
    29Omonia30212:3-12
    30Shelbourne30120:2-21
    31Shamrock Rovers30122:7-51
    32Breidablik30120:5-51
    33Aberdeen30122:9-71
    34Slovan Bratislava30032:6-40
    35Hamrun30030:5-50
    36SK Rapid30031:8-70

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)