Arda Kardzhali vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa
Result
1:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 2, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.81
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
78% (338/434)73% (299/409)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.622.62
Total shots
812
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
78% (338/434)73% (299/409)
Long passes
51% (35/69)36% (24/67)
Passes in final third
59% (61/104)55% (51/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.50
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1515
Tackles
65% (11/17)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
2014
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.621.62
Goals prevented
0.620.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Barath P. ,
  • 35', Racovitan B. 🟨,
  • 44', Barath P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Yusein S. , Vutov A. ,
  • 48', Nikolov G. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Vutov A. (Pen),
  • 60', Ameyaw M. , Lopez I. ,
  • 60', Pienko T. , Diaz J. ,
  • 66', Karagaren B. , Shinyashiki A. ,
  • 66', Velev V. , Gustavo Cascardo ,
  • 70', Nikolov G. 🟨,
  • 74', Barath P. , Bulat M. ,
  • 79', Brunes J. , Rocha L. ,
  • 79', Silva J. , Adriano ,
  • 80', Idowu D. , Patrick Luan ,
  • 85', Kovachev S. , Mane I. ,
  • 90+1', Velkovski D. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Lopez I. ,
  • 90+5', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Patrick Luan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arda Kardzhali
20%
Draw
27.7%
Raków Częstochowa
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 26.4% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 28% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.02
    (3.64)
    3.54
    (3.45)
    1.86
    (1.87)
    1.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Raków will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 49.8%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Arda Kardzhali 1:0
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
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    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Shkendija21011:2-13
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    23Hacken20202:202
    24KuPS20201:102
    25Omonia20111:2-11
    26Shelbourne20110:1-11
    27Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    28Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    29Breidablik20110:3-31
    30Rijeka10010:1-10
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