Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 9
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.08
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
71% (223/315)80% (379/476)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.81
Total shots
716
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1330
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
71% (223/315)80% (379/476)
Long passes
39% (22/57)31% (18/59)
Passes in final third
59% (43/73)64% (102/159)
Crosses
38% (3/8)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.30
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
1518
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.811.24
Goals prevented
-0.190.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Stojanovic P. ,
  • 42', Szymanski D. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 1 - 1, Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Silva J. , Adriano ,
  • 62', Lopez I. , Ameyaw M. ,
  • 62', Rondic I. , Makuch P. ,
  • 64', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
  • 66', Krasniqi E. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 68', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
  • 69', Svarnas S. 🟨,
  • 75', Stojanovic P. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 77', Brunes J. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 77', Bulat M. , Repka O. ,
  • 87', Rajovic M. , Colak A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
40.3%
Draw
28.8%
Legia Warsaw
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 26.6% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 26.4% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.24)
    3.27
    (3.54)
    3.05
    (3.02)
    6.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 0:1
    13.04.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1
    08.10.2023 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:2
    15.07.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    02.05.2023 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    5Jagiellonia953116:12418
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Zaglebie934220:13713
    9Pogon Szczecin1141616:20-413
    10Radomiak Radom1033417:18-112
    11Motor Lublin925211:14-311
    12Rakow932410:13-311
    13Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia102355:14-99
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice91448:11-37
    18Lechia Gdansk1133519:26-77

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1