Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 1.08 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
71% (223/315) | 80% (379/476) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 1.08 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.24 | 0.81 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
71% (223/315) | 80% (379/476) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (22/57) | 31% (18/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (43/73) | 64% (102/159) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (3/8) | 47% (7/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.81 | 1.30 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.81 | 1.24 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.19 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Stojanovic P. ⚽,
- 42', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Lopez I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Silva J. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 62', Lopez I. ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑,
- 62', Rondic I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 64', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
- 66', Krasniqi E. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
- 68', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
- 69', Svarnas S. 🟨,
- 75', Stojanovic P. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 77', Brunes J. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 77', Bulat M. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
- 87', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa 40.3% | Draw 28.8% | Legia Warsaw 30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↑ (2.24) |
3.27 ↓ (3.54) |
3.05 ↑ (3.02) |
6.1% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C.
(Ankle Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Legia Warsaw?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
15.09.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:1
13.04.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
1:1
08.10.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
15.07.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
02.05.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:0
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
13 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1