Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 9
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.08
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
71% (223/315)80% (379/476)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.81
Total shots
716
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1330
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
71% (223/315)80% (379/476)
Long passes
39% (22/57)31% (18/59)
Passes in final third
59% (43/73)64% (102/159)
Crosses
38% (3/8)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.30
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
1518
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.811.24
Goals prevented
-0.190.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Stojanovic P. ,
  • 42', Szymanski D. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 1 - 1, Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Silva J. , Adriano ,
  • 62', Lopez I. , Ameyaw M. ,
  • 62', Rondic I. , Makuch P. ,
  • 64', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
  • 66', Krasniqi E. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 68', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
  • 69', Svarnas S. 🟨,
  • 75', Stojanovic P. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 77', Brunes J. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 77', Bulat M. , Repka O. ,
  • 87', Rajovic M. , Colak A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
40.3%
Draw
28.8%
Legia Warsaw
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 26.6% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 26.4% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.24)
    3.27
    (3.54)
    3.05
    (3.02)
    6.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 0:1
    13.04.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1
    08.10.2023 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:2
    15.07.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    02.05.2023 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    6Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    7Zaglebie1144324:17716
    8Widzew Lodz1251620:17316
    9Legia1143414:12215
    10Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    11Rakow1142512:15-314
    12Pogon Szczecin1242618:22-414
    13Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    14GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    15Motor Lublin1125413:21-811
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1223716:24-89
    18Piast Gliwice101459:13-47

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1