Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (223/315) | 80% (379/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (223/315) | 80% (379/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 31% (18/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (43/73) | 64% (102/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Stojanovic P. ⚽,
- 42', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Lopez I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Silva J. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 62', Lopez I. ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑,
- 62', Rondic I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 64', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
- 66', Krasniqi E. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
- 68', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
- 69', Svarnas S. 🟨,
- 75', Stojanovic P. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 77', Brunes J. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 77', Bulat M. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
- 87', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
40.3% | Draw
28.8% | Legia Warsaw
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.24) |
3.27 ↓
(3.54) |
3.05 ↑
(3.02) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C.
(Ankle Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Legia Warsaw?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
15.09.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:1
13.04.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
1:1
08.10.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
15.07.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
02.05.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:0
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
