Result
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/378) | 80% (325/406) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 68% (62/91) | 75% (103/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 7% (1/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 83% (10/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Svarnas S. ⚽, Lopez I. (A),
- 23', Silva J. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Brunes J. ⚽, Berggren G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 3 - 0, Adriano ⚽,
- 51', 3 - 1, Gual M. ⚽,
- 54', Shkurin I. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 54', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 63', Lopez I. 🟨,
- 66', Feio G. 🟨,
- 76', Adriano ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 76', Lopez I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 83', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 83', Silva J. ↓, Mosor A. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Luquinhas ⚽, Vinagre R. (A),
- 88', Morishita R. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 88', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
- 89', Urbanski W. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kochergin V. ↓, Rundic M. ↑,
- 90+5', Pankov R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
47.4% | Draw
28.1% | Legia Warsaw
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.25) |
3.33 ↑
(3.28) |
3.85 ↑
(3.11) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Legia will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 57.7% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Raków won 2.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Raków is a favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Barath P.
(Yellow Cards)
Racovitan B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R.
(Yellow Cards)
Kobylak G.
(Inactive)
Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Inactive)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Raków won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Raków won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Legia Warsaw?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
15.09.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:1
13.04.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
1:1
08.10.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
15.07.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
02.05.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:0
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Termalica B-B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
