Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/411) | 79% (299/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/411) | 79% (299/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (13/34) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (106/139) | 60% (46/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽,
- 28', Brusberg I. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Adriano 🟨,
- 53', Bulat M. 🟨,
- 59', Wszolek P. 🟨,
- 63', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 63', Struski K. ↓, Dawidowicz P. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Nsame J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Wszolek P. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 74', Nsame J. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 82', Arsenic Z. ↓, Svarnas S. ↑,
- 83', Repka O. 🟨,
- 85', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 86', Kun P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
43.8% | Draw
28% | Raków Częstochowa
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.2) |
3.34 ↑
(3.29) |
3.32 ↑
(3.26) |
6.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Raków will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 25.5% – 74.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Raków (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 0.
- Legia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Raków has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Legia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Legia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Legia: Colak A.
(Inactive)
Vinagre R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Pienko T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Raków: Tudor F.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Legia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Legia Warsaw?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
20.09.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
1:1
15.09.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:1
13.04.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
1:1
08.10.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
15.07.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
