Result
3:1
03/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 3
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (178/242) | 82% (334/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.39 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (178/242) | 82% (334/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 49% (23/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (51/76) | 68% (107/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 21% (8/38) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 3.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Jordao B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Lopes V. ↓, Wolski R. ↑,
- 46', Pienko T. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Capita ⚽, Majchrowicz F. (A),
- 56', Mosor A. 🟨,
- 61', Mosor A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 61', Struski K. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
- 64', Arsenic Z. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 0, Alves R. (Pen),
- 68', 2 - 1, Brunes J. ⚽, Diaby-Fadiga L. (A),
- 76', Arsenic Z. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 78', Alves R. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
- 78', Jordao B. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 79', Capita ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 82', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 83', Barath P. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 84', Joao Pedro ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, Maurides ⚽, Kaput M. (A),
- 90+4', Adriano 🟨,
- 90+5', Wolski R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
28.4% | Draw
28.6% | Raków Częstochowa
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(3.19) |
3.3 ↑
(3.18) |
2.18 ↓
(2.22) |
6.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
- Radomiak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.
- Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Raków Częstochowa?
Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Radomiak Radom?
Raków Częstochowa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
12.04.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Radomiak Radom
2:1
05.10.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
05.04.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:1
01.10.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Radomiak Radom
3:0
10.04.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
