Result
3:1
03/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 3
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.23 | 1.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
74% (178/242) | 82% (334/408) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.23 | 1.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.39 | 0.66 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 40 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
74% (178/242) | 82% (334/408) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (18/45) | 49% (23/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (51/76) | 68% (107/157) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (3/7) | 21% (8/38) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.00 | 1.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 79% (11/14) |
Duels won |
---|
66 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
52 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.66 | 3.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.32 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Jordao B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Lopes V. ↓, Wolski R. ↑,
- 46', Pienko T. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Capita ⚽, Majchrowicz F. (A),
- 56', Mosor A. 🟨,
- 61', Mosor A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 61', Struski K. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
- 64', Arsenic Z. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 0, Alves R. (Pen),
- 68', 2 - 1, Brunes J. ⚽, Diaby-Fadiga L. (A),
- 76', Arsenic Z. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 78', Alves R. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
- 78', Jordao B. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 79', Capita ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 82', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 83', Barath P. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 84', Joao Pedro ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, Maurides ⚽, Kaput M. (A),
- 90+4', Adriano 🟨,
- 90+5', Wolski R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom 28.4% | Draw 28.6% | Raków Częstochowa 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.34 ↑ (3.19) |
3.3 ↑ (3.18) |
2.18 ↓ (2.22) |
6.1% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
- Radomiak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.
- Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Raków Częstochowa?
Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Radomiak Radom?
Raków Częstochowa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
12.04.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Radomiak Radom
2:1
05.10.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
05.04.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:1
01.10.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Radomiak Radom
3:0
10.04.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
8 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
11 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
13 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
14 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1