Radomiak Radom vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa
Result
3:1
03/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 3
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.12
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
74% (178/242)82% (334/408)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.12
xG on target (xGOT)
3.390.66
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2640
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
74% (178/242)82% (334/408)
Long passes
40% (18/45)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
67% (51/76)68% (107/157)
Crosses
43% (3/7)21% (8/38)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.06
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
2014
Tackles
56% (9/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6655
Clearances
5217
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.663.39
Goals prevented
-0.320.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Jordao B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lopes V. , Wolski R. ,
  • 46', Pienko T. , Adriano ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Capita , Majchrowicz F. (A),
  • 56', Mosor A. 🟨,
  • 61', Mosor A. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 61', Struski K. , Repka O. ,
  • 64', Arsenic Z. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Alves R. (Pen),
  • 68', 2 - 1, Brunes J. , Diaby-Fadiga L. (A),
  • 76', Arsenic Z. , Rocha L. ,
  • 78', Alves R. , Donis C. ,
  • 78', Jordao B. , Camara I. ,
  • 79', Capita , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 82', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 83', Barath P. , Makuch P. ,
  • 84', Joao Pedro , Zie Ouattara ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Maurides , Kaput M. (A),
  • 90+4', Adriano 🟨,
  • 90+5', Wolski R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
28.4%
Draw
28.6%
Raków Częstochowa
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 29.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 28.1% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.19)
    3.3
    (3.18)
    2.18
    (2.22)
    6.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
    • Radomiak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.
    • Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 2:1
    05.10.2024 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    05.04.2024 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 2:1
    01.10.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 3:0
    10.04.2023 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Jagiellonia953116:12418
    5Wisla Plock952211:6517
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Zaglebie934220:13713
    9Radomiak Radom1033417:18-112
    10Motor Lublin925211:14-311
    11Rakow932410:13-311
    12Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    13Pogon Szczecin1031614:19-510
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia102355:14-99
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice81437:9-27
    18Lechia Gdansk1032518:25-76

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          Relegation ~ Division 1