Result
3:1
18/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 31
- Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany |
Russia | TV Start |
Serbia | Arena Sport 8, SportKlub 3 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
World | Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 1.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
79% (324/408) | 68% (208/305) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 1.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.59 | 1.69 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
79% (324/408) | 68% (208/305) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (33/64) | 20% (11/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (106/146) | 57% (62/108) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 18% (4/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.27 | 0.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (12/21) | 64% (18/28) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.69 | 1.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.69 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Bolla B. ⚽, Seidl M. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Burgstaller G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Radulovic A. ↑,
- 56', Aiwu E. ↓, Karic E. ↑,
- 56', Yalcouye M. ↓, Chukwuani T. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Grgic L. ⚽,
- 71', Burgstaller G. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Bolla B. ⚽, Kara E. (A),
- 82', Oswald M. ↓, Kerschbaum R. ↑,
- 82', Jansson I. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
- 82', Grgic L. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 82', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 88', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 89', Seidl M. ↓, Beljo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rapid Wien 29.6% | Draw 26.3% | Sturm Graz 44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↑ (2.75) |
3.61 ↑ (3.5) |
2.16 ↓ (2.2) |
5.4% (10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Rapid will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Sturm will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rapid (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 1.
- Rapid is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sturm has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rapid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Rapid: Borkeeiet T.
(Knee Injury)
Groller A.
(Injury)
Orgler L.
(Knee Injury)
Raux Yao S.
(Knee Injury)
Scholler J. M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Geyrhofer N.
(Knee Injury)
Jatta S.
(Ankle Injury)
Mayulu F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Rapid: Cvetkovic N.
(Muscle Injury)
Roka E.
(Injury)
Sangare M.
(Injury)
Wurmbrand N.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Lavalee D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rapid won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Sturm Graz?
Rapid Wien has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Rapid Wien?
Sturm Graz has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz were as follows:
04.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
2:0
02.11.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
1:1
04.08.2024
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
1:0
01.05.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
2:1
24.04.2024
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
1:3
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | LASK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | SK Rapid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | BW Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )