Result
3:1
18/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 31
- Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/408) | 68% (208/305) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/408) | 68% (208/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 20% (11/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (106/146) | 57% (62/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 64% (18/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Bolla B. ⚽, Seidl M. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Burgstaller G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Radulovic A. ↑,
- 56', Aiwu E. ↓, Karic E. ↑,
- 56', Yalcouye M. ↓, Chukwuani T. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Grgic L. ⚽,
- 71', Burgstaller G. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Bolla B. ⚽, Kara E. (A),
- 82', Oswald M. ↓, Kerschbaum R. ↑,
- 82', Jansson I. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
- 82', Grgic L. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 82', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 88', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 89', Seidl M. ↓, Beljo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rapid Wien
29.6% | Draw
26.3% | Sturm Graz
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.75) |
3.61 ↑
(3.5) |
2.16 ↓
(2.2) |
5.4%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Rapid will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Sturm will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rapid (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 1.
- Rapid is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sturm has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rapid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Rapid: Borkeeiet T.
(Knee Injury)
Groller A.
(Injury)
Orgler L.
(Knee Injury)
Raux Yao S.
(Knee Injury)
Scholler J. M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Geyrhofer N.
(Knee Injury)
Jatta S.
(Ankle Injury)
Mayulu F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Rapid: Cvetkovic N.
(Muscle Injury)
Roka E.
(Injury)
Sangare M.
(Injury)
Wurmbrand N.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Lavalee D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rapid won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Sturm Graz?
Rapid Wien has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Rapid Wien?
Sturm Graz has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz were as follows:
04.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
2:0
02.11.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
1:1
04.08.2024
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
1:0
01.05.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
2:1
24.04.2024
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
1:3
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | LASK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | SK Rapid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
