Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 12
- Referee: Hameter M. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/267) | 76% (359/470) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/267) | 76% (359/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (58/100) | 69% (124/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Malone M. ⚽, Kayombo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Antiste J. ↓, Gulliksen T. ↑,
- 46', Demir F. ↓, Auer J. ↑,
- 58', Kayombo A. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
- 65', Lavalee D. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 1, Seidl M. ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 1, Lavalee D. (Own goal),
- 77', Bolla B. 🟨,
- 78', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
- 80', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 80', Malic A. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 80', Malone M. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 86', Amane R. 🟨,
- 90', Lavalee D. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
- 90', Seidl M. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 90+5', Gartler P. 🟨,
- 90+6', Gulliksen T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rapid Wien
37.3% | Draw
27% | Sturm Graz
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.55) |
3.49 ↑
(3.4) |
2.66 ↑
(2.55) |
6.1%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Rapid will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Sturm will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rapid: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Rapid (votes: 3 - 60%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Sturm has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N.
(Ankle Injury)
Borkeeiet T.
(Knee Injury)
Dahl P.
(Muscle Injury)
M'Buyi C.
(Inactive)
Marcelin J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Scholler J. M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rapid won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Sturm Graz?
Rapid Wien has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Rapid Wien?
Sturm Graz has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz were as follows:
10.08.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
1:2
18.05.2025
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
04.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
2:0
02.11.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
1:1
04.08.2024
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
1:0
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | LASK | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:35 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
