Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 2
- Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5, SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (378/467) | 74% (232/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (378/467) | 74% (232/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (109/150) | 57% (60/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
- 43', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
- 45', Marcelin J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Radulovic A. ↓, Weixelbraun D. ↑,
- 46', Seidl M. ↓, M'Buyi C. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Marcelin J. (Own goal),
- 67', 1 - 1, Dahl P. ⚽, M'Buyi C. (A),
- 70', 1 - 2, M'Buyi C. ⚽, Dahl P. (A),
- 72', Boving W. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
- 72', Grgic L. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 77', Dahl P. 🟨,
- 77', Horn J. 🟨,
- 80', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 80', Chukwuani T. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 83', Antiste J. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
- 83', Horn J. ↓, Ahoussou A. ↑,
- 83', Dahl P. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
- 87', Johnston M. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 90+3', Schaub L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
44.5% | Draw
26.9% | Rapid Wien
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.16) |
3.53 ↑
(3.49) |
3.26 ↓
(3.31) |
6.2%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 50%). Rapid (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 2.
- Sturm is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rapid is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rapid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sturm will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N.
(Ankle Injury)
Borkeeiet T.
(Knee Injury)
Groller A.
(Injury)
Oswald M.
(Foot Injury)
Scholler J. M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Rapid Wien?
Sturm Graz has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Sturm Graz?
Rapid Wien has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien were as follows:
18.05.2025
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
04.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
2:0
02.11.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
1:1
04.08.2024
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
1:0
01.05.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
2:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tirol | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Altach | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Wolfsberger AC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ried | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Austria Vienna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Grazer AK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 11 | BW Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | LASK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
