Result
0:2
05/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 25
- Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/465) | 66% (158/238) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/465) | 66% (158/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 25% (13/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (46/75) | 53% (55/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Vallci A. ⚽,
- 34', Bolla B. 🟨,
- 34', Mamageishvili G. 🟨,
- 36', Hodl J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Jatta S. ⚽,
- 56', Gulliksen T. 🟨,
- 57', Gulliksen T. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
- 58', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 68', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
- 68', Mitchell J. 🟨,
- 71', Antiste J. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
- 71', Ahoussou A. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
- 71', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Demir Y. ↑,
- 73', Hodl J. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
- 73', Mamageishvili G. ↓, Kiteishvili O. ↑,
- 73', Jatta S. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
- 80', Rozga F. 🟨,
- 81', Rozga F. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 90+2', Tilio M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rapid Wien
43.1% | Draw
28.7% | Sturm Graz
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapid Wien that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+5%)
Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.48) |
3.29 ↑
(3.27) |
3.34 ↑
(2.87) |
6.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Rapid will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rapid: 48.9% – 92.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Rapid (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Rapid (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Rapid (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Rapid (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rapid Wien will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rapid (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 3.
- Rapid has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sturm is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Rapid: Horn J.
(Yellow Cards)
M'Buyi C.
(Knee Injury)
Marcelin J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ndzie M.
(Knee Injury)
Nunoo D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Schaub L.
(Knee Injury)
Weixelbraun D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Ankle Injury)
Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Gazibegovic J.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rapid won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Sturm Graz?
Rapid Wien has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Rapid Wien?
Sturm Graz has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz were as follows:
02.11.2025
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
2:1
10.08.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
1:2
18.05.2025
Rapid Wien
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
04.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
2:0
02.11.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Rapid Wien
1:1
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 45:29 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 | LASK | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 38:35 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
