Ratchaburi vs Lamphun Warriors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.03
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
86% (375/436)81% (278/343)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.33
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
313
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
86% (375/436)81% (278/343)
Long passes
63% (22/35)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
76% (85/112)72% (93/130)
Crosses
16% (3/19)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.59
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
1113
Tackles
82% (9/11)50% (6/12)
Duels won
3126
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
1119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
0.332.26
Goals prevented
0.33-2.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', Lated T. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Rakotoharimalala N. , Negueba (A),
  • 41', 2 - 0, Deni Junior , Negueba (A),
  • 45+2', Kerdkaew N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', Ralph 🟨,
  • 52', Singmui S. 🟨,
  • 54', 3 - 0, Negueba (Pen),
  • 57', Negueba , Tana ,
  • 58', Sidcley , Chiamudom K. ,
  • 62', Noiwilai N. , Tapla B. ,
  • 63', Lated T. , Cissokho A. ,
  • 63', Pumwisat A. , Mudlem A. ,
  • 66', Curran J. , Peenagatapho S. ,
  • 66', Limwannasthian T. , Srisuwan K. ,
  • 75', Ralph , Churok T. ,
  • 76', Poomkeaw C. , Kaewprom J. ,
  • 79', Churok T. 🟨,
  • 82', Singmui S. , Suriyachai S. ,
  • 83', 4 - 0, Tana ,
  • 90+1', 5 - 0, Kaewprom J. , Deni Junior (A),

Chances of winning


Ratchaburi
66.3%
Draw
20.7%
Lamphun Warriors
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 23.5% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 23% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ratchaburi's performance.
  • Lamphun Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lamphun Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ratchaburi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamphun Warriors than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lamphun Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ratchaburi - Lamphun Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.89)
    5.23
    (3.98)
    8.38
    (3.46)
    -7.8%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Ratchaburi - Lamphun Warriors?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ratchaburi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 1.
    • Recent form of Ratchaburi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lamphun Warriors has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ratchaburi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ratchaburi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ratchaburi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ratchaburi - Lamphun Warriors were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Lamphun Warriors - Ratchaburi 1:0
    01.02.2025 Ratchaburi - Lamphun Warriors 1:1
    15.09.2024 Lamphun Warriors - Ratchaburi 1:0
    09.03.2024 Ratchaburi - Lamphun Warriors 2:0
    06.10.2023 Lamphun Warriors - Ratchaburi 1:1
    Latest results of Ratchaburi
    05.10.2025 Prachuap - Ratchaburi 1:0
    02.10.2025 Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka 0:2
    17.09.2025 Nam Định - Ratchaburi 3:1
    Latest results of Lamphun Warriors
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram21172257:203753
    2Port MTI FC21123642:192339
    3Ratchaburi20123532:181439
    4Bangkok Utd20116332:201239
    5Pathum United21106531:211036
    6Rayong FC2177732:29328
    7Prachuap21610527:27028
    8Ayutthaya Utd2168728:31-326
    9Uthai Thani2167833:34-125
    10Chonburi2167825:27-225
    11Chiangrai Utd21510624:31-725
    12Sukhothai2149815:30-1521
    13Lamphun Warrior21311728:38-1020
    14Kanchanaburi222101022:40-1816
    15Muang Thong Utd21351319:42-2314
    16Nakhon Ratchasima FC20341313:33-2013

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2