Nakhon Pathom United vs Ratchaburi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium (Nakhon Pathom).

Thai League 1 - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 1, True ID

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	2.78
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
7	8
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
80% (216/270)	85% (335/393)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	2.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.55	3.75
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
7	8
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
8	10
Shots outside the Box
8	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
16	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
8	13
Passes
80% (216/270)	85% (335/393)
Long passes
54% (21/39)	64% (42/66)
Passes in final third
59% (40/68)	75% (88/117)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	0.66
Throw-ins
12	24
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
67% (6/9)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
33	44
Clearances
22	26
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
3.75	0.55
Goals prevented
-2.25	-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Depres C. (Pen),
29', 0 - 2, Curran J. ⚽, Tanaka T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Depres C. ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
46', Viriyachanchai P. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
51', 0 - 3, Tanaka T. (Pen),
56', Nemati A. ↓, Shamsaldin A. ↑,
56', Chaolaokhwan S. ↓, Ruengsamoot T. ↑,
56', Otton C. ↓, Chuchai C. ↑,
56', 0 - 4, Kaewprom J. ⚽,
60', 1 - 4, Shamsaldin A. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
61', Tanaka T. ↓, Poomkeaw C. ↑,
62', Kaewprom J. ↓, Bolkiah F. ↑,
62', Valdo 🟨,
64', Thongsaengphrao J. ↓, Peenagatapho S. ↑,
69', 1 - 5, Poomkeaw C. ⚽, Rakotoharimalala N. (A),
71', Prachobklang N. ↓, Laohabut T. ↑,
86', 1 - 6, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Peenagatapho S. (A),
87', Curran J. ↓, Chiamudom K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Nakhon Pathom United
26%

Draw
24.7%

Ratchaburi
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

26.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	3.69 ↑ (3.52)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)	9.9% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Ratchaburi will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ratchaburi: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 4).
Nakhon Pathom United is Relegated to Thai League 2
Recent matches Nakhon Pathom United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
Ratchaburi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games, wins - 5).
Ratchaburi could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
Recently, Nakhon Pathom United had a set of home games.
Ratchaburi will have a poor advantage in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Pathom United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams, Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:1

How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Pathom United won against Ratchaburi?

Nakhon Pathom United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Nakhon Pathom United?

Ratchaburi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi were as follows:

11.08.2024 Ratchaburi - Nakhon Pathom United 2:3

10.02.2024 Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi 0:1

19.08.2023 Ratchaburi - Nakhon Pathom United 0:1

Latest results of Nakhon Pathom United

19.04.2025 Lamphun Warriors - Nakhon Pathom United 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Nakhon Pathom United - Thai Port 2:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Nakhon Pathom United - Rayong FC 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Nakhon Pathom United - Muangthong United 2:4 ✺

15.03.2025 Nakhon Pathom United - Uthai Thani 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Ratchaburi

23.04.2025 Ratchaburi - Phrae United 7:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Ratchaburi - Buriram United 3:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Chiangrai United - Ratchaburi 1:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Suphanburi - Ratchaburi 1:7 ✺

06.04.2025 Khonkaen United - Ratchaburi 4:7 ✺

Thai League 1 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram	30	22	4	4	92:20	72	70
2	Bangkok Utd	30	21	6	3	63:30	33	69
3	Pathum United	30	15	8	7	47:34	13	53
4	Ratchaburi	30	15	7	8	65:47	18	52
5	Port MTI FC	30	13	9	8	52:39	13	48
6	Muang Thong Utd	30	13	6	11	46:39	7	45
7	Prachuap	30	12	8	10	49:39	10	44
8	Lamphun Warrior	30	9	10	11	36:39	-3	37
9	Uthai Thani	30	9	10	11	37:35	2	37
10	Sukhothai	30	9	9	12	47:54	-7	36
11	Chiangrai Utd	30	11	3	16	33:51	-18	36
12	Rayong FC	30	8	8	14	41:59	-18	32
13	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	30	7	11	12	36:57	-21	32
14	Nong Bua Pitchaya	30	6	9	15	37:62	-25	27
15	Nakhon Pathom	30	5	8	17	30:59	-29	23
16	Khonkaen Utd	30	4	6	20	21:68	-47	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2