Result
1:6
30/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Thailand | True Ball Thai 1, True ID |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (216/270) | 85% (335/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (216/270) | 85% (335/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 64% (42/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (40/68) | 75% (88/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.75 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.25 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Depres C. (Pen),
- 29', 0 - 2, Curran J. ⚽, Tanaka T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Depres C. ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
- 46', Viriyachanchai P. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 3, Tanaka T. (Pen),
- 56', Nemati A. ↓, Shamsaldin A. ↑,
- 56', Chaolaokhwan S. ↓, Ruengsamoot T. ↑,
- 56', Otton C. ↓, Chuchai C. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 4, Kaewprom J. ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 4, Shamsaldin A. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
- 61', Tanaka T. ↓, Poomkeaw C. ↑,
- 62', Kaewprom J. ↓, Bolkiah F. ↑,
- 62', Valdo 🟨,
- 64', Thongsaengphrao J. ↓, Peenagatapho S. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 5, Poomkeaw C. ⚽, Rakotoharimalala N. (A),
- 71', Prachobklang N. ↓, Laohabut T. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 6, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Peenagatapho S. (A),
- 87', Curran J. ↓, Chiamudom K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Pathom United
26% | Draw
24.7% | Ratchaburi
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(3.4) |
3.69 ↑
(3.52) |
1.84 ↓
(1.96) |
9.9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Ratchaburi will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ratchaburi: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United (votes: 1 - 50%). Ratchaburi (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 4).
- Nakhon Pathom United is Relegated to Thai League 2
- Recent matches Nakhon Pathom United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
- Ratchaburi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games, wins - 5).
- Ratchaburi could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently, Nakhon Pathom United had a set of home games.
- Ratchaburi will have a poor advantage in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Pathom United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Pathom United won against Ratchaburi?
Nakhon Pathom United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Nakhon Pathom United?
Ratchaburi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi were as follows:
11.08.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Nakhon Pathom United
2:3
10.02.2024
Nakhon Pathom United
-
Ratchaburi
0:1
19.08.2023
Ratchaburi
-
Nakhon Pathom United
0:1
Latest results of Nakhon Pathom United
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 39 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 39 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32:20 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Prachuap | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Uthai Thani | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Chonburi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Chiangrai Utd | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:30 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 28:38 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 14 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13:33 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
