Result
 
                    1:6
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        30/04/2025 at  07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Thai League 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  South-korea | SPOTV Now | 
|  Thailand | True Ball Thai 1, True ID | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.78 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 42% | 58% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 8 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (216/270) | 85% (335/393) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.78 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.75 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 8 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 10 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 16 | 24 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (216/270) | 85% (335/393) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 64% (42/66) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (40/68) | 75% (88/117) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 46% (6/13) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.66 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 12 | 24 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 8 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 79% (11/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 33 | 44 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 22 | 26 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 3.75 | 0.55 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -2.25 | -0.27 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Depres C. (Pen), 
- 29', 0 - 2, Curran J. ⚽, Tanaka T. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Depres C. ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑, 
- 46', Viriyachanchai P. ↓, Ito T. ↑, 
- 51', 0 - 3, Tanaka T. (Pen), 
- 56', Nemati A. ↓, Shamsaldin A. ↑, 
- 56', Chaolaokhwan S. ↓, Ruengsamoot T. ↑, 
- 56', Otton C. ↓, Chuchai C. ↑, 
- 56', 0 - 4, Kaewprom J. ⚽, 
- 60', 1 - 4, Shamsaldin A. ⚽, Ito T. (A), 
- 61', Tanaka T. ↓, Poomkeaw C. ↑, 
- 62', Kaewprom J. ↓, Bolkiah F. ↑, 
- 62', Valdo 🟨, 
- 64', Thongsaengphrao J. ↓, Peenagatapho S. ↑, 
- 69', 1 - 5, Poomkeaw C. ⚽, Rakotoharimalala N. (A), 
- 71', Prachobklang N. ↓, Laohabut T. ↑, 
- 86', 1 - 6, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Peenagatapho S. (A), 
- 87', Curran J. ↓, Chiamudom K. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Nakhon Pathom United 26%
 | Draw 24.7%
 | Ratchaburi 49.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.51 ↑ (3.4)
 | 3.69 ↑ (3.52)
 | 1.84 ↓ (1.96)
 | 9.9% (8.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            11 users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Ratchaburi will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Ratchaburi: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 4). 
- Nakhon Pathom United is Relegated to Thai League 2 
- Recent matches Nakhon Pathom United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1). 
- Ratchaburi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games, wins - 5). 
- Ratchaburi could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents. 
- Recently, Nakhon Pathom United had a set of home games. 
- Ratchaburi will have a poor advantage in this game.
 
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Pathom United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1). 
- Including matches at home between the teams, Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:1                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Pathom United won against Ratchaburi?
                    
                    
                        
                            Nakhon Pathom United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Nakhon Pathom United?
                    
                    
                        
                             Ratchaburi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Pathom United - Ratchaburi were as follows:
                                                        
                                11.08.2024 
                                Ratchaburi 
                                - 
                                Nakhon Pathom United 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                10.02.2024 
                                Nakhon Pathom United 
                                - 
                                Ratchaburi 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.08.2023 
                                Ratchaburi 
                                - 
                                Nakhon Pathom United 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Nakhon Pathom United                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Ratchaburi                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Buriram | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22:9 | 13 | 22 | 
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:12 | 6 | 20 | 
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 | 
| 4 | Port MTI FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:6 | 12 | 16 | 
| 5 | Pathum United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 | 
| 6 | Chiangrai Utd | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 | 
| 7 | Prachuap | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 | 
| 8 | Rayong FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 | 
| 9 | Sukhothai | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 | 
| 10 | Muang Thong Utd | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 | 
| 11 | Chonburi | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 | 
| 12 | Ayutthaya Utd | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 | 
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 | 
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | 
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:25 | -11 | 6 | 
| 16 | Uthai Thani | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2