Result
2:2
22/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.35 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
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| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
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| 27 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 90% (379/422) | 86% (299/346) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.35 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.20 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
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| 27 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 13 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 11 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
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| 90% (379/422) | 86% (299/346) |
| Long passes |
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| 69% (27/39) | 60% (26/43) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 82% (84/102) | 76% (69/91) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (8/24) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.36 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
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| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
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| 90% (18/20) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.17 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.83 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Gleyson ⚽, Negueba (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Deni Junior ⚽, Curran J. (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Sandokhadze N. ⚽, Matsuda R. (A),
- 45+5', Deni Junior 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jantawong P. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 46', Notsuda G. ↓, Doi T. ↑,
- 57', Promrak A. ↓, Deeromram K. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 2, Doi T. ⚽, Sandokhadze N. (A),
- 64', Srisuwan K. ↓, Limwannasthian T. ↑,
- 64', Deni Junior ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
- 65', Matsuda R. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,
- 68', Takagi Y. 🟨,
- 71', Negueba 🟨,
- 75', Raniel 🟨,
- 80', Raniel ↓, Panya E. ↑,
- 90+1', Kaman K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Khemdee J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sandokhadze N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Negueba ↓, Poomkaew C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pathum United 43.7% | Draw 27.1% | Ratchaburi 29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-1%)
Pathum United - Ratchaburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (2.08) |
3.37 ↑ (3.27) |
3.13 ↓ (3.19) |
9.3% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 2.
- Pathum United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ratchaburi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pathum United could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Ratchaburi?
Pathum United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Pathum United?
Ratchaburi has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Ratchaburi were as follows:
22.11.2025
Ratchaburi
-
Pathum United
0:0
15.01.2025
Pathum United
-
Ratchaburi
1:2
25.08.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Pathum United
4:1
04.05.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Pathum United
0:1
24.04.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Pathum United
0:3
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2