Bugesera vs Rayon Sports – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App
rwandaRwandaMagic Sports TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)

Chances of winning


Bugesera
26.3%
Draw
33.7%
Rayon Sports
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 30.6% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 29.9% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Rayon Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayon Sports might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bugesera that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayon Sports than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayon Sports could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bugesera - Rayon Sports Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (4.26)
    2.68
    (3)
    2.27
    (1.92)
    10.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1.
    • Recent form of Bugesera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rayon Sports has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rayon Sports may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rayon Sports could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 7:28. (average 0.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Rayon Sports were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Bugesera - Rayon Sports 2:0
    19.10.2024 Rayon Sports - Bugesera 2:0
    20.04.2024 Bugesera - Rayon Sports 1:2
    01.12.2023 Rayon Sports - Bugesera 1:0
    16.04.2023 Bugesera - Rayon Sports 0:2
    Latest results of Bugesera
    30.11.2025 Marines - Bugesera 2:1
    27.11.2025 Bugesera - Al-Merreikh 1:0
    22.11.2025 Bugesera - Rutsiro 2:3
    Latest results of Rayon Sports
    05.12.2025 Rayon Sports - Musanze 2:0
    29.11.2025 Gicumbi - Rayon Sports 1:1
    23.11.2025 Rayon Sports - Kigali 0:2
    08.11.2025 APR - Rayon Sports 3:0
    02.11.2025 Marines - Rayon Sports 0:1
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1APR251310235:191649
    2Al-Merreikh24139228:141448
    3Al-Hilal Omdurman21143450:163445
    4Rayon Sport25119531:25642
    5Police251011423:14941
    6Kiyovu25109627:171039
    7Mukura Victory Sports25107827:26137
    8Musanze25106932:26636
    9Marines25106933:29436
    10Bugesera2497825:23234
    11Gorilla25681118:28-1026
    12Gasogi United25681117:30-1326
    13Gicumbi25671227:41-1425
    14AS Kigali25591118:28-1024
    15Etincelles25313918:27-922
    16Amagaju24561311:29-1821
    17Muhanga25561417:35-1821
    18Rutsiro24481224:34-1020

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