Result
2:3
22/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bugesera 45.8% | Draw 30.8% | Rutsiro 23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Rutsiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rutsiro than the current prediction. (+1%)
Bugesera - Rutsiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.07) |
2.97 ↑ (2.9) |
3.89 ↑ (3.68) |
9.6% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Recently, Rutsiro has had a series of away games.
- Bugesera might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Rutsiro?
Bugesera has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rutsiro won against Bugesera?
Rutsiro has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Rutsiro were as follows:
20.04.2025
Rutsiro
-
Bugesera
4:2
15.09.2024
Bugesera
-
Rutsiro
2:3
17.02.2023
Bugesera
-
Rutsiro
3:0
21.12.2022
Rutsiro
-
Bugesera
2:1
Latest results of Bugesera
Latest results of Rutsiro
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation