Result
2:2
25/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 19
- Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena, ZAP |
Albania | SuperSport 5 |
Angola | Z Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 4 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 259 |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 5 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 5 |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.70 | 2.51 |
Ball Possession |
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66% | 34% |
Goal Attempts |
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8 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 7 |
Shots off Goal |
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2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 3 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 12 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Fouls |
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12 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 22 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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34 | 25 |
Passes |
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89% (531/598) | 78% (241/308) |
Passes in the final third |
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78% (150/192) | 72% (52/72) |
Crosses |
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19% (6/32) | 7% (1/14) |
Tackles |
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88% (7/8) | 75% (9/12) |
Clearances Total |
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19 | 47 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Schick P. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
- 40', Andrich R. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Raum D. ⚽,
- 42', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Andrich R. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 51', Kampl K. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
- 51', Vermeeren A. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
- 65', Schick P. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
- 66', Arthur ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
- 66', Nusa A. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
- 67', Klostermann L. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
- 74', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 79', Simons X. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 2, Tapsoba E. (Own goal),
- 88', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig 27.2% | Draw 27.1% | Bayer Leverkusen 45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.55 ↓ (3.65) |
3.55 ↓ (3.91) |
2.1 ↑ (1.94) |
3.9% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). Bayer will win (votes: 31 - 56.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 43.3% – 69.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 2.
- Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bayer is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Bayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Bayer will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Thigh Injury)
Schlager X.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Adli A.
(Ankle Injury)
Belocian J.
(Knee Injury)
Terrier M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Gulacsi P.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lukeba C.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:26 (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Bayer Leverkusen?
RB Leipzig has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against RB Leipzig?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
31.08.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
RB Leipzig
2:3
20.01.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:3
19.08.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
RB Leipzig
3:2
23.04.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
RB Leipzig
2:0
29.10.2022
RB Leipzig
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga