RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
20/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.843.17
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
85% (403/473)90% (550/608)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.843.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.593.22
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2533
Accurate through passes
14
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
85% (403/473)90% (550/608)
Long passes
56% (24/43)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
69% (92/134)87% (102/117)
Crosses
17% (3/18)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.861.70
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (12/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4542
Clearances
2920
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
3.221.59
Goals prevented
0.220.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 30', Arthur 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Schlager X. , Baumgartner C. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Terrier M. , Arthur (A),
  • 44', 1 - 2, Schick P. , Tella N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Hofmann J. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 70', Nedeljkovic K. , Baku R. ,
  • 70', Romulo Cardoso , Maksimovic A. ,
  • 77', Schick P. , Kofane C. ,
  • 77', Terrier M. , Culbreath M. ,
  • 77', Tella N. , Tape A. ,
  • 79', Gomis T. , Werner T. ,
  • 83', Arthur , Lucas ,
  • 87', Tape A. 🟨,
  • 89', Seiwald N. , Bitshiabu E. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Culbreath M. ,
  • 90+11', Lukeba C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
44.9%
Draw
24.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 24.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 23.9% 27.9%

RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.13
(1.99)
3.83
(3.95)
3.18
(3.38)
4.5%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 46 - 74.2%). Bayer will win (votes: 5 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 17.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 63.3%85.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 1.
    • RB Leipzig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bayer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • RB Leipzig could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Muscle Injury) Banzuzi E. (Muscle Injury) Diomande Y. (International duty) Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Haidara A. (International duty) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Personal Reasons) Nusa A. (Ankle Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (International duty) Kofane C. (International duty) Maza I. (International duty) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Poku E. (Injury) Quansah J. (Yellow Cards) Tapsoba E. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Lucas (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    25.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2
    31.08.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 2:3
    20.01.2024 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    19.08.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 3:2
    23.04.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 2:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich14122051:114038
    2Dortmund1595126:121432
    3Bayer Leverkusen1592433:201329
    4RB Leipzig1592430:191129
    5Hoffenheim1583429:20927
    6Stuttgart1582525:22326
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1574430:30025
    8Union Berlin1563620:23-321
    9Freiburg1555525:26-120
    10Werder Bremen1545618:28-1017
    11FC Koln1544722:24-216
    12B. Monchengladbach1544718:24-616
    13Hamburger SV1544716:25-916
    14Wolfsburg1543823:28-515
    15Augsburg1542917:28-1114
    16St. Pauli1432913:26-1311
    17Heidenheim1432913:30-1711
    18Mainz1414913:26-137

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga