RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen
Result
2:2
25/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena, ZAP
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angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 259
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMatch TV, Sportbox.ru
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.702.51
Ball Possession
66%34%
Goal Attempts
813
Shots on Goal
47
Shots off Goal
24
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
03
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
612
Offsides
22
Fouls
126
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1922
Touches in the Opposition Box
3425
Passes
89% (531/598)78% (241/308)
Passes in the final third
78% (150/192)72% (52/72)
Crosses
19% (6/32)7% (1/14)
Tackles
88% (7/8)75% (9/12)
Clearances Total
1947
Interceptions
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Schick P. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
  • 40', Andrich R. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Raum D. ⚽,
  • 42', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Andrich R. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
  • 51', Kampl K. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
  • 51', Vermeeren A. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
  • 65', Schick P. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
  • 66', Arthur ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
  • 66', Nusa A. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
  • 67', Klostermann L. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
  • 74', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 79', Simons X. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Tapsoba E. (Own goal),
  • 88', Baumgartner C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
27.2%		Draw
27.1%		Bayer Leverkusen
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.2% 24.5% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 24.7% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
    •

    RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.55 ↓
    (3.65)    		 3.55 ↓
    (3.91)    		 2.1 ↑
    (1.94)    		 3.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). Bayer will win (votes: 31 - 56.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 43.3% – 69.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 2.
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayer is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bayer will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Thigh Injury) Schlager X. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Adli A. (Ankle Injury) Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Gulacsi P. (Shoulder Injury) Lukeba C. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:26 (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 2:3
    20.01.2024 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    19.08.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 3:2
    23.04.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 2:0
    29.10.2022 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 2:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    22.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3 ✺
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1 ✺
    12.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 4:2 ✺
    20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    21.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:1 ✺
    14.01.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:0 ✺
    10.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3 ✺
    05.01.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen 2:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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