Result
2:0
14/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 17
- Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malta | TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2, Prima TV |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig
54% | Draw
24.6% | Freiburg
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
RB Leipzig - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.81) |
3.87 ↓
(4) |
4.46 ↑
(4.02) |
4.9%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Freiburg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - RB Leipzig (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - RB Leipzig (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
RB Leipzig will win
(71 of 84 users predict this - 84.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.78% – 92.26%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 36 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 32 - 88.9%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4.
- Recent performances by RB Leipzig have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, RB Leipzig is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J.
(Calf Injury)
Gebel V.
(Knee Injury)
Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Klostermann L.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Lienhart P.
(Abdominal strain)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E.
(Muscle Injury)
Rosenfelder M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:19. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Freiburg?
RB Leipzig has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against RB Leipzig?
Freiburg has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Freiburg were as follows:
08.03.2025
Freiburg
-
RB Leipzig
0:0
26.10.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Freiburg
3:1
06.04.2024
Freiburg
-
RB Leipzig
1:4
12.11.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Freiburg
3:1
06.05.2023
Freiburg
-
RB Leipzig
0:1
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 40 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
