Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 25
Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.52	1.59
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Goal Attempts
10	18
Shots on Goal
2	3
Shots off Goal
4	8
Blocked Shots
4	7
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
2	6
Shots inside the Box
4	12
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
Free Kicks
11	6
Offsides
3	3
Fouls
6	11
Yellow Cards
0	3
Throw-ins
18	18
Touches in the Opposition Box
19	26
Passes
80% (387/486)	82% (343/419)
Passes in the final third
50% (49/98)	70% (70/100)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	29% (5/17)
Tackles
86% (12/14)	67% (14/21)
Clearances Total
13	27
Interceptions
9	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kampl K. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
46', Dinkci E. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
50', Orban W. 🟨,
56', Vermeeren A. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
63', Seiwald N. 🟨,
75', Adamu J. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
78', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Lukeba C. ↑,
78', Sesko B. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
87', Raum D. 🟨,
88', Simons X. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Freiburg
37.5%

Draw
29.1%

RB Leipzig
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Freiburg - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.6)	3.3 ↓ (3.51)	2.88 ↑ (2.68)	4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Freiburg - RB Leipzig?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 18 - 45%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 15 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 29.6% – 60.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0.
Freiburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Freiburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently RB Leipzig have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Freiburg: Gulde M. (Back Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Freiburg: Rosenfelder M. (Illness)
There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Schlager X. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 21:47 (average 1.1:2.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:23 (average 1.3:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against RB Leipzig?

Freiburg has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Freiburg?

RB Leipzig has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:

26.10.2024 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 3:1

06.04.2024 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 1:4

12.11.2023 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 3:1

06.05.2023 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:1

02.05.2023 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 1:5

Latest results of Freiburg

02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 5:0 ✺

15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Freiburg - Heidenheim 1:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Bochum - Freiburg 0:1 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺

26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2 ✺

14.02.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Freiburg - RB Leipzig?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 3
Brazil	RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia