RB Leipzig vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, True ID, True Premier Football 4
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
54%
Draw
24.6%
Freiburg
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 23.8% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 24.8% 22.7%

RB Leipzig - Freiburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(1.81)
3.87
(4)
4.46
(4.02)
4.9%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Freiburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - RB Leipzig (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - RB Leipzig (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (71 of 84 users predict this - 84.52%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.78%92.26%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 36 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 32 - 88.9%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4.
    • Recent performances by RB Leipzig have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Calf Injury) Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Klostermann L. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:19. (average 2.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Freiburg were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    26.10.2024 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 3:1
    06.04.2024 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 1:4
    12.11.2023 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 3:1
    06.05.2023 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Freiburg
    10.01.2026 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 2:1
    20.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 3:4
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich21173179:196054
    2Dortmund21146143:202348
    3Hoffenheim21133544:281642
    4RB Leipzig21123640:281239
    5Stuttgart21123638:281039
    6Bayer Leverkusen20113639:271236
    7Freiburg2186732:33-130
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2177741:46-528
    9Union Berlin2167826:34-825
    10FC Koln21651030:34-423
    11Hamburger SV2057821:29-822
    12B. Monchengladbach2157925:34-922
    13Augsburg21641124:39-1522
    14Mainz21561025:33-821
    15Wolfsburg21541229:44-1519
    16Werder Bremen21471022:39-1719
    17St. Pauli21451220:35-1517
    18Heidenheim21341419:47-2813

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga