Result
2:4
03/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 8
- Referee: Lutz D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany, Sport 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (343/449) | 78% (331/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (343/449) | 78% (331/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (35/70) | 46% (32/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (75/131) | 65% (62/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.18 | -1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', Joly L. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Asgeirsdottir E. ⚽, Landenberger J. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Muller M. ⚽,
- 39', Chmielinski G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 54', Schneider M. 🟨,
- 60', Csillag A. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
- 60', Bienz A. ↓, Kolb L. ↑,
- 60', Schneider M. ↓, Ojukwu N. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 3, Schasching A. ⚽,
- 76', Schasching A. 🟨,
- 76', Vobian S. ↓, Nachtigall S. ↑,
- 77', Szenk N. ↓, Folmli S. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Folmli S. ⚽, Ojukwu N. (A),
- 82', Muller M. 🟨,
- 83', Herzog E. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 4, Baum L. ⚽, Muller M. (A),
- 86', Chmielinski G. ↓, Oteng P. ↑,
- 86', Joly L. ↓, Graf L. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 4, Birkholz L. E. ⚽,
- 89', Baum L. ↓, Dudek N. ↑,
- 90+6', Asgeirsdottir E. ↓, Grunenberg R. ↑,
- 90+6', Boboy D. ↓, Spitzner K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Freiburg 44.2% | Draw 25.5% | RB Leipzig 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Freiburg - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.39) |
3.62 ↑ (3.42) |
3.03 ↑ (2.49) |
8.6% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Freiburg - RB Leipzig?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 11).
- Recent performances by Freiburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- RB Leipzig's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against RB Leipzig?
Freiburg has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Freiburg?
RB Leipzig has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:
30.03.2025
RB Leipzig
-
Freiburg
1:1
20.10.2024
Freiburg
-
RB Leipzig
4:1
20.05.2024
Freiburg
-
RB Leipzig
2:1
27.01.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Freiburg
0:2
16.04.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Freiburg
0:1
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:3 | 32 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim W | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Koln W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Berlin W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:24 | -14 | 6 |
| 13 | Jena W | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 3 |
| 14 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6:28 | -22 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women