Result
1:1
30/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 18
- Referee: Wacker K. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (395/500) | 79% (357/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (395/500) | 79% (357/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/117) | 58% (45/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.59 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Karl L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Kolb L. ↓, Egli L. ↑,
- 56', Gudorf A. ↓, Zicai C. ↑,
- 61', Joly L. ↓, Asgeirsdottir E. ↑,
- 66', Egli L. 🟨,
- 70', Schimmer M. ↓, Marti L. ↑,
- 81', Schasching A. ↓, Szenk N. ↑,
- 88', Vobian S. ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
- 88', Folmli S. ↓, Ojukwu N. ↑,
- 89', Magerl J. ↓, Schaller J. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Hoffmann G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig
37.6% | Draw
25.6% | Freiburg
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for RB Leipzig have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
RB Leipzig - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42
(2.42) |
3.54 ↓
(3.58) |
2.47
(2.47) |
10%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).
- Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Freiburg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- RB Leipzig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Freiburg?
RB Leipzig has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against RB Leipzig?
Freiburg has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Freiburg were as follows:
20.10.2024
Freiburg
-
RB Leipzig
4:1
20.05.2024
Freiburg
-
RB Leipzig
2:1
27.01.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Freiburg
0:2
16.04.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Freiburg
0:1
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wolfsburg W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:0 | 13 | 13 |
| 3 | Freiburg W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Koln W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Jena W | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
| 14 | SGS Essen W | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:17 | -16 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
