RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV
Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.99
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
84% (393/468)86% (444/516)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.12
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
84% (393/468)86% (444/516)
Long passes
37% (15/41)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
67% (70/104)66% (91/137)
Crosses
25% (2/8)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.481.32
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1312
Tackles
75% (9/12)47% (9/19)
Duels won
3853
Clearances
4221
Interceptions
166
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.121.17
Goals prevented
0.12-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Capaldo N. 🟨,
  • 43', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Baumgartner C. , Nusa A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Lokonga A. S. , Muheim M. (A),
  • 50', 2 - 1, Baumgartner C. , Romulo Cardoso (A),
  • 60', Bakayoko J. , Banzuzi E. ,
  • 61', Ouedraogo A. , Diomande Y. ,
  • 76', Lokonga A. S. , Pherai I. ,
  • 76', Konigsdorffer R. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 78', Baumgartner C. , Schlager X. ,
  • 79', Diomande Y. 🟨,
  • 84', Mikelbrencis W. , Balde F. ,
  • 90', Nusa A. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 90+1', Romulo Cardoso , Harder C. ,
  • 90+1', Philippe R. , Glatzel R. ,
  • 90+1', Capaldo N. , Ramos G. ,
  • 90+6', Harder C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
69.8%
Draw
18.7%
Hamburger SV
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 19.3% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 18.6% 14.7%

RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.39
(1.45)
5.3
(4.93)
9.17
(6.23)
1.6%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 31 - 83.8%). Hamburg will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 71.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3.
    • RB Leipzig has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hamburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Omari W. (Knee Injury) Vieira F. (Red Card)
    • We predict that RB Leipzig will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    18.10.2022 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 4:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1
    30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1
    04.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Hannover 1:3
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich880030:42624
    2RB Leipzig861116:9719
    3Stuttgart860213:7618
    4Dortmund852114:6817
    5Bayer Leverkusen852118:11717
    6Eintracht Frankfurt841321:18313
    7Hoffenheim841315:13213
    8FC Koln832312:11111
    9Werder Bremen832312:16-411
    10Union Berlin831411:15-410
    11Freiburg823311:13-29
    12Wolfsburg82249:13-48
    13Hamburger SV82247:11-48
    14St. Pauli82158:14-67
    15Augsburg821512:20-87
    16Mainz81169:16-74
    17Heidenheim81167:16-94
    18B. Monchengladbach80356:18-123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga