RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

Bundesliga - Round 7
Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	0.99
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
84% (393/468)	86% (444/516)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.17	1.12
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
19	27
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
84% (393/468)	86% (444/516)
Long passes
37% (15/41)	53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
67% (70/104)	66% (91/137)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.48	1.32
Throw-ins
23	17
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
75% (9/12)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
38	53
Clearances
42	21
Interceptions
16	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.12	1.17
Goals prevented
0.12	-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Capaldo N. 🟨,
43', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Nusa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Lokonga A. S. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
50', 2 - 1, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Romulo Cardoso (A),
60', Bakayoko J. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
61', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
76', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
76', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
78', Baumgartner C. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
79', Diomande Y. 🟨,
84', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
90', Nusa A. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
90+1', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
90+1', Philippe R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
90+1', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
90+6', Harder C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

RB Leipzig
69.8%

Draw
18.7%

Hamburger SV
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

19.3%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

18.6%

14.7%

RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	5.3 ↑ (4.93)	9.17 ↑ (6.23)	1.6% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV?

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 31 - 83.8%). Hamburg will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 71.9% – 95.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3.
RB Leipzig has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Hamburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, RB Leipzig is the clear favorite.
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hamburg: Omari W. (Knee Injury) Vieira F. (Red Card)
We predict that RB Leipzig will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Hamburger SV?

RB Leipzig has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against RB Leipzig?

Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV were as follows:

18.10.2022 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 4:0

Latest results of RB Leipzig

04.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Hamburger SV

05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV 5:0 ✺

04.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Hannover 1:3 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	10	9	1	0	35:6	29	28
2	RB Leipzig	10	7	1	2	20:13	7	22
3	Dortmund	10	6	3	1	16:7	9	21
4	Stuttgart	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21
5	Bayer Leverkusen	10	6	2	2	24:14	10	20
6	Hoffenheim	10	6	1	3	21:16	5	19
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	23:19	4	17
8	Werder Bremen	10	4	3	3	15:18	-3	15
9	FC Koln	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14
10	Freiburg	10	3	4	3	13:14	-1	13
11	Union Berlin	10	3	3	4	13:17	-4	12
12	B. Monchengladbach	10	2	3	5	13:19	-6	9
13	Hamburger SV	10	2	3	5	9:16	-7	9
14	Wolfsburg	10	2	2	6	12:18	-6	8
15	Augsburg	10	2	1	7	14:24	-10	7
16	St. Pauli	10	2	1	7	9:20	-11	7
17	Mainz	10	1	2	7	10:18	-8	5
18	Heidenheim	10	1	2	7	8:23	-15	5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga