Köln vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
08/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, CANAL+ Sport 4, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid, Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Sport TV2, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.051.92
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
34
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
43
Passes
73% (247/339)82% (353/431)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
1.051.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.77
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
38
Shots inside the box
1013
Shots outside the box
16
Hit the woodwork
02
Headed goals
01
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2428
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
53
Free kicks
137
Passes
73% (247/339)82% (353/431)
Long passes
42% (25/60)35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
60% (62/103)69% (77/112)
Crosses
28% (7/25)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.291.65
Throw ins
2217
Fouls
713
Tackles
64% (14/22)76% (16/21)
Duels won
6269
Clearances
3448
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
1.770.78
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. , Raum D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Thielmann J. ,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Baumgartner C. , Schlager X. (A),
  • 58', Thielmann J. 🟨,
  • 64', Romulo Cardoso , Harder C. ,
  • 64', Henrichs B. , Baku R. ,
  • 68', Johannesson I. , Bulter M. ,
  • 77', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
  • 77', Raum D. 🟨,
  • 78', Lund K. , Waldschmidt L. ,
  • 82', Gruda B. , Banzuzi E. ,
  • 82', Diomande Y. , Gomis T. ,
  • 90', Ache R. , Schenten F. ,
  • 90', Thielmann J. , Chavez F. ,
  • 90+1', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Gulacsi P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Nusa A. , Finkgrafe M. ,

Chances of winning


Köln
28.5%
Draw
24.5%
RB Leipzig
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 24.4% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 24.5% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Köln - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (3.12)
    3.89
    (3.9)
    2.03
    (2.11)
    5.1%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Köln - RB Leipzig?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - RB Leipzig (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 - Köln (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - RB Leipzig (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (43 of 51 users predict this - 84.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.33%94.29%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 2.9%). RB Leipzig (votes: 33 - 97.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • RB Leipzig could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Köln: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Ribs Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Lukeba C. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Sani S. (Ankle Injury) Thomas A. (Illness)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Köln won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 1.1:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    15.03.2024 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:5
    28.10.2023 RB Leipzig - Köln 6:0
    04.02.2023 Köln - RB Leipzig 0:0
    Latest results of Köln
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0
    25.01.2026 Freiburg - Köln 2:1
    17.01.2026 Köln - Mainz 2:1
    14.01.2026 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:3
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    31.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2
    27.01.2026 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1
    24.01.2026 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 0:3
    17.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 1:5
    14.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 2:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 292441105:277876
    2Dortmund29197360:293164
    3Stuttgart29175760:382256
    4RB Leipzig29175756:362056
    5Bayer Leverkusen29157759:392052
    6Hoffenheim29156857:431451
    7Eintracht Frankfurt29119954:54042
    8Freiburg291171142:47-540
    9Mainz29891235:44-933
    10Augsburg29961436:53-1733
    11Union Berlin29881333:50-1732
    12Hamburger SV297101232:45-1331
    13FC Koln29791343:50-730
    14B. Monchengladbach29791335:49-1430
    15Werder Bremen29771532:52-2028
    16St. Pauli29671625:50-2525
    17Wolfsburg29561839:65-2621
    18Heidenheim29471832:64-3219

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )