RB Leipzig vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

Bundesliga - Round 4
Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, TV2 Play, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Urheilu 3, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport 2, Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen, Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.44	1.86
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
18	13
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
9	5
Passes
87% (365/420)	87% (412/474)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44	1.86
xG on target (xGOT)
4.52	0.83
Total shots
18	13
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
14	8
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
44	30
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
87% (365/420)	87% (412/474)
Long passes
45% (18/40)	58% (33/57)
Passes in final third
67% (70/104)	73% (93/128)
Crosses
47% (8/17)	26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.87	1.92
Throw-ins
18	21
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
58% (7/12)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
31	38
Clearances
34	30
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.83	4.52
Goals prevented
-0.17	1.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Ouedraogo A. ⚽, Romulo Cardoso (A),
23', 1 - 1, Thielmann J. ⚽, Martel E. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Romulo Cardoso ⚽, Baumgartner C. (A),
45+3', Martel E. 🟨,
45+4', 3 - 1, Raum D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bulter M. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
58', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
59', Martel E. ↓, Huseinbasic D. ↑,
59', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
59', Thielmann J. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
70', Baku R. 🟨,
73', Sebulonsen S. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
80', Baku R. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
80', Bakayoko J. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
90+2', Diomande Y. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
90+2', Baumgartner C. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,

Chances of winning

RB Leipzig
50.3%

Draw
24%

Köln
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

22%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

24.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

RB Leipzig - Köln Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.63)	4.01 ↓ (4.33)	3.74 ↓ (4.9)	3.9% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Köln?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (48 of 58 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.04% – 92.48%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3.
In recent matches, RB Leipzig has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Köln is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of away games.
In this match, RB Leipzig is the team to beat.
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M. (Knee Injury) Haidara A. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Klostermann L. (Calf Injury) Nusa A. (Forearm injury) Schlager X. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Köln: Kilian L. (Knee Injury) van den Berg R. (Shoulder Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 2.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 2.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Köln?

RB Leipzig has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against RB Leipzig?

Köln has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Köln were as follows:

15.03.2024 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:5

28.10.2023 RB Leipzig - Köln 6:0

04.02.2023 Köln - RB Leipzig 0:0

Latest results of RB Leipzig

13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Sandhausen - RB Leipzig 2:4 ✺

09.08.2025 Lens - RB Leipzig 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Köln

13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Köln 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Köln - Atalanta 4:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	5	5	0	0	22:3	19	15
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:3	8	13
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	7:7	0	12
4	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	3	0	2	17:13	4	9
5	Stuttgart	5	3	0	2	7:6	1	9
6	Bayer Leverkusen	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
7	FC Koln	5	2	1	2	10:9	1	7
8	Freiburg	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
9	St. Pauli	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
10	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	9:11	-2	7
11	Union Berlin	5	2	1	2	8:11	-3	7
12	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	7:7	0	5
13	Hamburger SV	5	1	2	2	2:8	-6	5
14	Mainz	5	1	1	3	5:6	-1	4
15	Werder Bremen	5	1	1	3	8:14	-6	4
16	Augsburg	5	1	0	4	8:12	-4	3
17	Heidenheim	5	1	0	4	4:10	-6	3
18	B. Monchengladbach	5	0	2	3	5:12	-7	2

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