Reading vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Reading - AFC Wimbledon
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.90
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
76% (289/380)73% (283/390)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.82
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1527
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
149
Passes
76% (289/380)73% (283/390)
Long passes
42% (28/66)38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
64% (70/109)57% (69/122)
Crosses
33% (4/12)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.48
Throw-ins
3033
Fouls
914
Tackles
65% (17/26)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6876
Clearances
3617
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.821.55
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Fraser L. , Doyle K. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Bugiel O. , Reeves J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lane P. , Camara M. ,
  • 58', Sasu A. 🟨,
  • 65', Abrefa K. , Ahmed A. ,
  • 66', Okine-Peters J. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 66', Bauer P. , Johnson R. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Camara M. ,
  • 71', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Asiimwe N. ,
  • 71', Nkeng R. , Seddon S. ,
  • 71', Hackford A. , Kelly J. ,
  • 79', Rushesha T. , Elliott B. ,
  • 79', Ryan J. , Kyerewaa D. ,
  • 79', Reeves J. , Hippolyte M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
40.6%
Draw
29.7%
AFC Wimbledon
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 28.1% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 28.2% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Reading - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.17)
    3.19
    (3.31)
    3.2
    (3.19)
    5.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Reading - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1.
    • Reading has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wimbledon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Reading is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    08.07.2023 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    Latest results of Reading
    20.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Reading 1:1
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    12.08.2025 Portsmouth - Reading 1:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham