AFC Wimbledon vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 31
  • Referee: Baines D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.131.00
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Big chances
72
Corner kicks
63
Passes
62% (185/298)75% (331/439)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.131.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.931.29
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
137
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
72
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1311
Passes
62% (185/298)75% (331/439)
Long passes
16% (11/67)35% (28/80)
Passes in final third
52% (62/120)55% (55/100)
Crosses
18% (4/22)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.46
Throw ins
2630
Fouls
1113
Tackles
60% (6/10)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4253
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
2014
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.292.93
Goals prevented
-0.71-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Browne M. ,
  • 30', Keane W. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Marriott J. , Doyle K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Browne M. , Bugiel O. (A),
  • 65', 2 - 2, Dorsett A. J. R. ,
  • 66', Doyle K. , Ehibhatiomhan K. ,
  • 66', Lane P. , Fraser L. ,
  • 69', O'Connor P. 🟨,
  • 71', 3 - 2, Browne M. , Maycock C. (A),
  • 77', Hippolyte M. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 84', Roberts H. , Yiadom A. ,
  • 88', Bugiel O. , Stevens M. ,
  • 88', Browne M. , Hackford A. ,
  • 90+2', Nkeng R. , Bauer P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
33.8%
Draw
28.6%
Reading
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 29.3% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 29.3% 38.2%

AFC Wimbledon - Reading Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.78
(2.82)
3.26
(3.12)
2.5
(2.4)
6.8%
(9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Reading?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Reading (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Reading will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive) Stewart L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Kyerewaa D. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Reading were as follows:
    26.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    08.07.2023 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Reading
    31.01.2026 Northampton Town - Reading 0:2
    27.01.2026 Reading - Exeter City 2:2
    24.01.2026 Reading - Barnsley 2:2
    17.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Reading 3:1
    10.01.2026 Mansfield Town - Reading Postponed
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff30196555:292663
    2Lincoln30187552:302261
    3Bolton311510641:291255
    4Stockport County30158742:35753
    5Huddersfield311471053:421149
    6Bradford City29147837:33449
    7Luton301361140:35545
    8Peterborough311421545:41444
    9Wycombe301110940:31943
    10Reading301110943:39443
    11Stevenage29119931:30142
    12Mansfield291091037:32539
    13Exeter291151333:30338
    14AFC Wimbledon291151332:38-638
    15Barnsley271071044:46-237
    16Plymouth301141537:46-937
    17Blackpool30961537:44-733
    18Leyton Orient30961540:49-933
    19Northampton30961529:39-1033
    20Doncaster30961533:50-1733
    21Burton30881433:45-1232
    22Wigan307101331:42-1131
    23Rotherham29871431:43-1231
    24Port Vale28571622:40-1822

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two