Reading vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Reading - AFC Wimbledon
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.90
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
76% (289/380)73% (283/390)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.82
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1527
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
149
Passes
76% (289/380)73% (283/390)
Long passes
42% (28/66)38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
64% (70/109)57% (69/122)
Crosses
33% (4/12)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.48
Throw-ins
3033
Fouls
914
Tackles
65% (17/26)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6876
Clearances
3617
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.821.55
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Fraser L. , Doyle K. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Bugiel O. , Reeves J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lane P. , Camara M. ,
  • 58', Sasu A. 🟨,
  • 65', Abrefa K. , Ahmed A. ,
  • 66', Okine-Peters J. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 66', Bauer P. , Johnson R. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Camara M. ,
  • 71', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Asiimwe N. ,
  • 71', Nkeng R. , Seddon S. ,
  • 71', Hackford A. , Kelly J. ,
  • 79', Rushesha T. , Elliott B. ,
  • 79', Ryan J. , Kyerewaa D. ,
  • 79', Reeves J. , Hippolyte M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
40.6%
Draw
29.7%
AFC Wimbledon
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 28.1% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 28.2% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Reading - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.17)
    3.19
    (3.31)
    3.2
    (3.19)
    5.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Reading - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1.
    • Reading has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wimbledon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Reading is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    08.07.2023 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    Latest results of Reading
    20.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Reading 1:1
    16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    12.08.2025 Portsmouth - Reading 1:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd