AFC Wimbledon vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

League One - Round 31
Referee: Baines D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.13	1.00
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
7	2
Corner kicks
6	3
Passes
62% (185/298)	75% (331/439)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.13	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.93	1.29
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
13	7
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
7	2
Corner kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
21	14
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
13	11
Passes
62% (185/298)	75% (331/439)
Long passes
16% (11/67)	35% (28/80)
Passes in final third
52% (62/120)	55% (55/100)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	0.46
Throw ins
26	30
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
60% (6/10)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
42	53
Clearances
14	29
Interceptions
20	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.29	2.93
Goals prevented
-0.71	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Browne M. ⚽,
30', Keane W. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽, Doyle K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Browne M. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
65', 2 - 2, Dorsett A. J. R. ⚽,
66', Doyle K. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
66', Lane P. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
69', O'Connor P. 🟨,
71', 3 - 2, Browne M. ⚽, Maycock C. (A),
77', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
84', Roberts H. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
88', Bugiel O. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
88', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
90+2', Nkeng R. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
33.8%

Draw
28.6%

Reading
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

AFC Wimbledon - Reading Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.82)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)	6.8% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Reading?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Reading (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Reading will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 9 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive) Stewart L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Reading: Kyerewaa D. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Reading?

AFC Wimbledon has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against AFC Wimbledon?

Reading has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Reading were as follows:

26.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 2:1

16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2

08.07.2023 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 0:1

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

03.02.2026 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 0:1 ✺

12.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - West Ham United U21 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Reading

31.01.2026 Northampton Town - Reading 0:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Reading - Exeter City 2:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Reading - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Reading 3:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Reading - Stockport County 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two