AFC Wimbledon vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

League One - Round 31
Referee: Baines D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.13	1.00
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
7	2
Corner kicks
6	3
Passes
62% (185/298)	75% (331/439)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.13	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.93	1.29
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
13	7
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
7	2
Corner kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
21	14
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
13	11
Passes
62% (185/298)	75% (331/439)
Long passes
16% (11/67)	35% (28/80)
Passes in final third
52% (62/120)	55% (55/100)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	0.46
Throw ins
26	30
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
60% (6/10)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
42	53
Clearances
14	29
Interceptions
20	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.29	2.93
Goals prevented
-0.71	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Browne M. ⚽,
30', Keane W. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽, Doyle K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Browne M. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
65', 2 - 2, Dorsett A. J. R. ⚽,
66', Doyle K. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
66', Lane P. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
69', O'Connor P. 🟨,
71', 3 - 2, Browne M. ⚽, Maycock C. (A),
77', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
84', Roberts H. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
88', Bugiel O. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
88', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
90+2', Nkeng R. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
33.8%

Draw
28.6%

Reading
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

AFC Wimbledon - Reading Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.82)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)	6.8% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Reading?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Reading (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Reading will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 9 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive) Stewart L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Reading: Kyerewaa D. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Reading?

AFC Wimbledon has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against AFC Wimbledon?

Reading has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Reading were as follows:

26.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 2:1

16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2

08.07.2023 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 0:1

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

03.02.2026 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 0:1 ✺

12.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - West Ham United U21 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Reading

31.01.2026 Northampton Town - Reading 0:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Reading - Exeter City 2:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Reading - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Reading 3:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Reading - Stockport County 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship