Result
0:1
31/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 30
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (263/365) | 75% (330/439) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (263/365) | 75% (330/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (15/73) | 33% (24/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (69/115) | 63% (80/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Blackett-Taylor C. ⚽, McAtee J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Asiimwe N. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 60', McAtee J. 🟨,
- 67', Hackford A. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
- 68', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
- 68', McAtee J. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
- 72', Apter R. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 73', Maycock C. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 79', Browne M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 80', Reeves J. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
- 83', Dempsey K. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 83', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 90+5', Smith A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
23.3% | Draw
27.2% | Bolton Wanderers
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4%)
AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↓
(4.42) |
3.44 ↓
(3.48) |
1.89 ↑
(1.75) |
6.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 8% – 64.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0.
- Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bolton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Bolton Wanderers?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against AFC Wimbledon?
Bolton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
06.09.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:0
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
