Derby County vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Derby County - Reading
Result
2:1
12/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
59.1%
Draw
24%
Reading
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 23.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 22.9% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Derby County - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.67)
    3.97
    (3.97)
    5.51
    (4.81)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: Derby County will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75%98.67%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Reading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 23 head-to-head matches Derby won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-34.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-20.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Reading were as follows:
    23.01.2024 Reading - Derby County 1:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Reading
    02.03.2024 Carlisle United - Reading 1:3
    24.02.2024 Reading - Shrewsbury Town 2:3
    20.02.2024 Reading - Port Vale 2:0
    17.02.2024 Portsmouth - Reading 4:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Lincoln1163217:10721
    5AFC Wimbledon1170416:12421
    6Huddersfield1161417:13419
    7Stockport County1154217:14319
    8Bolton1145216:11517
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1152411:12-117
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Northampton104247:8-114
    14Wigan1134415:16-113
    15Plymouth1141616:19-313
    16Port Vale1133510:10012
    17Exeter1140711:12-112
    18Leyton Orient1132616:22-611
    19Reading1024411:15-410
    20Wycombe1123613:15-29
    21Burton102357:15-89
    22Rotherham102269:15-68
    23Blackpool1122710:19-98
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two