Result
2:1
12/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County
59.1% | Draw
24% | Reading
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Derby County - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.67) |
3.97 ↑
(3.97) |
5.51 ↑
(4.81) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derby County - Reading?
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 18).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Reading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 23 head-to-head matches Derby won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-34.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-20.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Reading?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Derby County?
Reading has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Reading were as follows:
23.01.2024
Reading
-
Derby County
1:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
