Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Sanz I. ⚽,
- 38', Gete A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Alvarez P. ↓, Isi Ros ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Bautista K. ⚽,
- 61', Hernandez R. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
- 61', Carracedo O. ↓, Campabadal E. ↑,
- 71', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 2, Sanz I. ⚽,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 2, Cueto J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Santamaria A. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
- 90+7', Isi Ros 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Avilés
21.6% | Draw
29.5% | Athletic Bilbao B
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Avilés's form might have worsened.Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.86 ↑
(2.87) |
3.4 ↑
(2.96) |
1.98 ↓
(2.45) |
0.4%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Athletic Bilbao B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Athletic Bilbao B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Athletic Bilbao B?
Real Avilés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao B won against Real Avilés?
Athletic Bilbao B has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B were as follows:
26.08.2023
Real Avilés
-
Athletic Bilbao B
1:2
Latest results of Real Avilés
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Racing Club Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Celta Vigo B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Real Aviles | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Guadalajara | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Lugo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Cacereno | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Osasuna B | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | CF Talavera | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Zamora | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Arenteiro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Unionistas | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Ath Bilbao B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Merida AD | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Arenas Getxo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 20 | Ourense CF | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
