Real Avilés vs Athletic Bilbao B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B
Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
107
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Sanz I. ,
  • 38', Gete A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Alvarez P. , Isi Ros ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Bautista K. ,
  • 61', Hernandez R. , Bari Q. ,
  • 61', Carracedo O. , Campabadal E. ,
  • 71', Rubio R. , Cueto J. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Cueto J. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Sanz I. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Cueto J. ,
  • 90+3', Santamaria A. , Granero B. ,
  • 90+7', Isi Ros 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Avilés
21.6%
Draw
29.5%
Athletic Bilbao B
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 30.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 30.3% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Avilés's form might have worsened.
  • Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.86
    (2.87)
    3.4
    (2.96)
    1.98
    (2.45)
    0.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Athletic Bilbao B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Athletic Bilbao B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Real Avilés - Athletic Bilbao B 1:2
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife861116:41219
    2Racing Club Ferrol852112:7517
    3Celta Vigo B842210:6414
    4Real Aviles842215:14114
    5Guadalajara833210:8212
    6Real Madrid B840410:10012
    7Barakaldo82519:8111
    8Lugo83236:5111
    9Pontevedra83238:9-111
    10Ponferradina831410:9110
    11Cacereno82429:9010
    12Osasuna B82426:7-110
    13CF Talavera82338:9-19
    14Zamora82338:9-19
    15Arenteiro82337:8-19
    16Unionistas83058:10-29
    17Ath Bilbao B82337:9-29
    18Merida AD830510:15-59
    19Arenas Getxo82248:14-68
    20Ourense CF80445:12-74

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation