Athletic Bilbao B vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Jorrin M. 🟨,
  • 41', Barandalla M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jorrin M. , Moreno D. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Garcia E. ,
  • 61', Vazquez B. 🟨,
  • 64', Sergio Benito , Keita A. ,
  • 64', Ferrer P. , Cortes J. ,
  • 64', Valle B. , Fernandez X. ,
  • 85', Aguilar Elizalde E. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao B
43%
Draw
30.1%
Ponferradina
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26.5% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.98)
    2.99
    (3.27)
    3.4
    (3.54)
    10%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 2.
    • Recent performances by Athletic Bilbao B have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ponferradina has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Athletic Bilbao B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B 0:1
    03.05.2025 Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B 2:0
    11.10.2024 Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina 0:0
    24.07.2024 Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina 0:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    11Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    12Lugo3411131032:37-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    16Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    17Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    18Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    19Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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