Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Real Cartagena
62.4%
Draw
22.6%
Orsomarso
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 21.5% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 20.6% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Real Cartagena - Orsomarso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.45)
    4
    (4.31)
    6.03
    (6.37)
    10.4%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Real Cartagena is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Cartagena - Orsomarso were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Real Cartagena - Orsomarso 3:1
    11.04.2025 Orsomarso - Real Cartagena 1:2
    23.11.2024 Orsomarso - Real Cartagena 0:1
    30.10.2024 Real Cartagena - Orsomarso 2:1
    14.10.2024 Orsomarso - Real Cartagena 1:0
    Latest results of Real Cartagena
    Latest results of Orsomarso
    01.03.2026 Orsomarso - Envigado 0:1
    09.02.2026 Orsomarso - Patriotas 0:0
    04.02.2026 Tigres - Orsomarso 0:1
    Colombian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Palmira760114:5918
    2Quindio751110:4616
    3Cartagena742110:5514
    4U. Magdalena64119:5413
    5Bogota73226:5111
    6Envigado63127:4310
    7Ind. Yumbo72418:6210
    8Barranquilla63037:709
    9Orsomarso72235:6-18
    10Patriotas72235:7-28
    11Real Cundinamarca72145:7-27
    12Tigres71334:7-36
    13Leones81345:13-86
    14Real Santander61234:7-35
    15Boca Juniors71246:10-45
    16Atletico F.C80444:11-74

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )