Result
1:2
11/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', Arango H. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Murillo M. (Pen),
- 21', Caicedo C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
- 33', 1 - 1, Girado S. (Pen),
- 42', 1 - 2, Murillo M. ⚽,
- 45+2', Marrugo C. 🟨,
- 45+2', Girado S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Montero F. ↓, Pereira I. ↑,
- 58', Paternina C. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 58', Fields L. ↓, Barreto F. ↑,
- 61', De La Rosa W. 🟨,
- 68', Ruiz A. ↓, Arrechea S. ↑,
- 68', Montano Loango A. J. ↓, Palacios Y. ↑,
- 71', Ramirez J. 🟨,
- 72', Ramirez J. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
- 75', Murillo M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 79', Montes A. 🟨,
- 82', Viveros S. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 84', Palacios Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orsomarso
30.7% | Draw
31.6% | Real Cartagena
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orsomarso - Real Cartagena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↓
(3.05) |
2.92 ↓
(3.45) |
2.45 ↑
(2.18) |
8.4%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Orsomarso - Real Cartagena?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Real Cartagena will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Real Cartagena (votes: 4 - 80%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Orsomarso won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Real Cartagena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Real Cartagena will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Orsomarso won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:15 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Orsomarso won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orsomarso won against Real Cartagena?
Orsomarso has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Cartagena won against Orsomarso?
Real Cartagena has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orsomarso - Real Cartagena were as follows:
23.11.2024
Orsomarso
-
Real Cartagena
0:1
30.10.2024
Real Cartagena
-
Orsomarso
2:1
14.10.2024
Orsomarso
-
Real Cartagena
1:0
10.06.2024
Real Cartagena
-
Orsomarso
2:0
20.05.2024
Orsomarso
-
Real Cartagena
0:0
Latest results of Orsomarso
Latest results of Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Huila | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Cartagena | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Cucuta | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Real Cundinamarca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Patriotas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Santander | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Tigres | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Quindio | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Inter Palmira | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Atletico F.C | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Barranquilla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Bogota | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Leones | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
