Result
1:3
10/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Benavidez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Gustavo Souza ↓, Carter D. ↑,
- 46', Granja S. ↓, Bernardez C. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Bernardez C. ⚽,
- 54', 0 - 2, Delgadillo Y. ⚽,
- 56', Jean-Baptiste J. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Carter D. ⚽,
- 62', Palacios D. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 63', Vuelto D. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
- 63', Rochez J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 67', Kelly K. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
- 67', Portillo A. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
- 76', Barrios A. 🟨,
- 81', Delgadillo Y. ↓, Dolmo Y. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 3, Monico D. ⚽,
- 83', Jean-Baptiste J. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
- 87', Martinez W. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
- 90+1', Dolmo Y. 🟨,
- 90+6', Aparicio D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real España
74.8% | Draw
16.4% | Victoria La Ceiba
8.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real España's performance.Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Real España - Victoria La Ceiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.31) |
5.6 ↑
(5.03) |
10.4 ↑
(7.43) |
8.9%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 1.
- Recent performances by Real España have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Victoria La Ceiba has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Victoria La Ceiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Real España has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Real España is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Real España has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Real España?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Victoria La Ceiba were as follows:
20.04.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Real España
1:1
16.02.2025
Real España
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:1
24.11.2024
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Real España
0:0
19.09.2024
Real España
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:1
13.04.2024
Real España
-
Victoria La Ceiba
0:1
Latest results of Real España
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Olancho | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Juticalpa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Motagua | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Genesis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | -15 | 4 |
| 11 | Victoria | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
