Result
4:1
11/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Capeluto J. 🟨,
- 20', Banegas A. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Jean-Baptiste J. ⚽,
- 25', Osorto R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Portillo A. ↓, Bueso G. ↑,
- 46', Garcia J. ↓, Bernardez C. ↑,
- 46', Banegas A. ↓, Kelly K. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Garcia D. ⚽,
- 56', Sayago D. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 56', Giron A. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
- 59', Blackburn R. ↓, Lahera Y. ↑,
- 63', 3 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 67', Kelly K. 🟨,
- 68', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 73', Martinez M. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 1, Garcia D. (Own goal),
- 78', 4 - 1, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 82', Benavidez J. ↓, Palacios Y. ↑,
- 86', Ramirez L. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
- 90+1', Jean-Baptiste J. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
- 90+1', Osorto R. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real España 68.5% | Draw 19.9% | Victoria La Ceiba 11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+1.9%)The ML Model estimate for Victoria La Ceiba aligns with the current prediction.
Real España - Victoria La Ceiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.36) |
4.57 ↑ (4.28) |
7.88 ↑ (7.33) |
9.8% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Real España - Victoria La Ceiba?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Real España is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Real España has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Real España?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Victoria La Ceiba were as follows:
08.11.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Real España
0:2
10.09.2025
Real España
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:3
20.04.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Real España
1:1
16.02.2025
Real España
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:1
24.11.2024
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Real España
0:0
Latest results of Real España
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Motagua | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )